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JorgeMateo
2B • Bats R • Throws L
TBvs
BAL12:15 PM ET
vs Trevor Rogers (L)
Tropicana Field
CONFIRMED · BATTING #7
Bomb Score
78
HOT BOMBRank #112 today
HR probability
6.6%
Confidence
87%
Data coverage
100%
Why he's live
Environment
74
Power
63
Swing Win
58
- · Hard-hit rate grades 72 on the MLB scale
- · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- · Strong HR environment at this park today
Signals
25/25
Power
63
Collision
56
Pitch Profile
56
Home Run Swing Window
Score 58.4Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 86 BBE
12.7
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 86 BBE
47.7%
100Barrel %
SEASON · 86 BBE
10.5%
63Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 86 BBE
47.7%
72Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 86 BBE
89.0
54Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 86 BBE
112.2
65Pull-Air %
SEASON · 86 BBE
24.4%
75Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Top-end exit velocity of 112.2 mph clears the HR threshold.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
63×54=58
Barrel
63×47=57
Hard Hit
72×52=63
Pitch Match
58×61=56
Zone Match
50×45=51
Location Match
48
Pull Match
75×71=69
Fastball Match
67×68=63
Breaking Ball Match
53×32=51
Offspeed Match
40×59=43
Contact Match
54×46=52
Platoon Match
62×62=58
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 86 BBE
10.5%
63Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 86 BBE
47.7%
72Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 86 BBE
47.7%
100Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 86 BBE
89.0
54Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 86 BBE
112.2
65Launch Angle
SEASON · 86 BBE
12.7
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 86 BBE
30.2%
57Pull %
SEASON · 86 BBE
51.2%
96Pull-Air %
SEASON · 86 BBE
24.4%
75xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 86 BBE
.445
82xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 86 BBE
.656
100ISO
SEASON · 134 PA
.143
41SLG
SEASON · 134 PA
.389
41HR / PA
SEASON · 134 PA
3.0%
47HR / BBE
SEASON · 86 BBE
4.7%
48Opposing Pitcher Profile
Trevor Rogers (L) · vulnerability 54.3HR / BF
SEASON · 477 BF
2.5%
39HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 347 BBE
3.5%
38Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 347 BBE
7.2%
47Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 347 BBE
39.5%
52Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 347 BBE
88.5
46Max EV allowed
SEASON · 347 BBE
116.8
100Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 347 BBE
25.1%
39Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 347 BBE
21.6%
71xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 347 BBE
.514
78Strikeout %
SEASON · 477 BF
20.3%
58Whiff %
SEASON · 477 BF
21.4%
64Zone %
SEASON · 477 BF
51.0%
45Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 17.8 |
| L10 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 14.3% | 35.7% | 16.1 |
| L15 | 15 | 0 | 0.0% | 9.5% | 42.9% | 16.9 |
| L30 | 30 | 2 | 2.7% | 10.0% | 50.0% | 16.5 |
| SEASON | 51 | 4 | 3.0% | 10.5% | 47.7% | 12.7 |
| CAREER | 51 | 4 | 3.0% | 10.5% | 47.7% | 12.7 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Hard-hit rate grades 72 on the MLB scale
- +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Underlying contact quality trending down