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JonathanAranda

1B • Bats L • Throws L

TBvs

BAL

BAL

12:15 PM ET

vs Trevor Rogers (L)

Tropicana Field

CONFIRMED · BATTING #2

Bomb Score

73

BOMBRank #146 today

HR probability

15.9%

Confidence

91%

Data coverage

100%

Why he's live

Opportunity

78

Contact

61

Power

60

· OPPORTUNITY 78
· CONTACT 61
· POWER 60

Signals

25/25

Power

60

Collision

53

Pitch Profile

52

02

Home Run Swing Window

Score 56.8

Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)

SEASON · 320 BBE

13.3

—

Sweet-Spot %

SEASON · 320 BBE

39.7%

84

Barrel %

SEASON · 320 BBE

10.0%

61

Hard-Hit %

SEASON · 320 BBE

44.4%

63

Avg Exit Velo

SEASON · 320 BBE

90.8

69

Max Exit Velo

SEASON · 320 BBE

111.4

59

Pull-Air %

SEASON · 320 BBE

21.6%

65

Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band.

03

Collision Report

Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerability

Power

60×54=56

Barrel

61×47=56

Hard Hit

63×52=58

Pitch Match

53×44=52

Zone Match

58×45=56

Location Match

52

Pull Match

65×71=61

Fastball Match

57×46=54

Breaking Ball Match

40×23=47

Offspeed Match

37×52=42

Contact Match

69×46=61

Platoon Match

44×27=48

04

Statcast Profile

Measured contact quality

Barrel %

SEASON · 320 BBE

10.0%

61

Hard-Hit %

SEASON · 320 BBE

44.4%

63

Sweet-Spot %

SEASON · 320 BBE

39.7%

84

Avg Exit Velo

SEASON · 320 BBE

90.8

69

Max Exit Velo

SEASON · 320 BBE

111.4

59

Launch Angle

SEASON · 320 BBE

13.3

—

Fly Ball %

SEASON · 320 BBE

30.9%

59

Pull %

SEASON · 320 BBE

43.4%

67

Pull-Air %

SEASON · 320 BBE

21.6%

65

xwOBA (contact)

SEASON · 320 BBE

.411

67

xSLG (contact)

SEASON · 320 BBE

.607

96

ISO

SEASON · 495 PA

.134

37

SLG

SEASON · 495 PA

.417

53

HR / PA

SEASON · 495 PA

2.6%

42

HR / BBE

SEASON · 320 BBE

4.1%

42

05

Opposing Pitcher Profile

Trevor Rogers (L) · vulnerability 54.3

HR / BF

SEASON · 477 BF

2.5%

39

HR / BBE allowed

SEASON · 347 BBE

3.5%

38

Barrel % allowed

SEASON · 347 BBE

7.2%

47

Hard-Hit % allowed

SEASON · 347 BBE

39.5%

52

Avg EV allowed

SEASON · 347 BBE

88.5

46

Max EV allowed

SEASON · 347 BBE

116.8

100

Fly Ball % allowed

SEASON · 347 BBE

25.1%

39

Pull-Air % allowed

SEASON · 347 BBE

21.6%

71

xSLG allowed (contact)

SEASON · 347 BBE

.514

78

Strikeout %

SEASON · 477 BF

20.3%

58

Whiff %

SEASON · 477 BF

21.4%

64

Zone %

SEASON · 477 BF

51.0%

45

06

Historical Trends

Point-in-time windows

Window	G	HR	HR/PA	Barrel %	Hard %	LA
L5	5	0	0.0%	11.1%	50.0%	12.8
L10	10	1	2.2%	9.1%	39.4%	18.7
L15	15	1	1.5%	9.8%	49.0%	15.4
L30	30	2	1.5%	10.9%	48.9%	14.6
SEASON	114	13	2.6%	10.0%	44.4%	13.3
CAREER	114	13	2.6%	10.0%	44.4%	13.3

07

Why He Ranks Here

Deterministic trace

-Park and conditions suppress home runs