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RafaelDevers
1B • Bats L • Throws R
SFvs
COL4:05 PM ET
vs Gabriel Hughes (R)
Oracle Park
PROJECTED · BATTING #8
Bomb Score
79
HOT BOMBRank #103 today
HR probability
14.2%
Confidence
76%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Power
68
Contact
65
Pitch Match
63
- · Hard-hit rate grades 80 on the MLB scale
- · Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
- · POWER 68
Signals
24/25
Power
68
Collision
59
Pitch Profile
63
Home Run Swing Window
Score 59.9Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 314 BBE
14.4
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 314 BBE
32.5%
45Barrel %
SEASON · 314 BBE
10.8%
64Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 314 BBE
51.0%
80Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 314 BBE
92.7
86Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 314 BBE
112.5
67Pull-Air %
SEASON · 314 BBE
19.4%
58Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Top-end exit velocity of 112.5 mph clears the HR threshold.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
68×43=60
Barrel
64×16=54
Hard Hit
80×10=57
Pitch Match
77×42=63
Zone Match
70×47=61
Location Match
55
Pull Match
58×74=56
Fastball Match
84×35=65
Breaking Ball Match
68×49=60
Offspeed Match
58×65=55
Contact Match
86×31=65
Platoon Match
77×34=62
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 314 BBE
10.8%
64Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 314 BBE
51.0%
80Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 314 BBE
32.5%
45Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 314 BBE
92.7
86Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 314 BBE
112.5
67Launch Angle
SEASON · 314 BBE
14.4
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 314 BBE
35.0%
71Pull %
SEASON · 314 BBE
47.1%
81Pull-Air %
SEASON · 314 BBE
19.4%
58xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 314 BBE
.406
65xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 314 BBE
.629
100ISO
SEASON · 497 PA
.231
78SLG
SEASON · 497 PA
.475
74HR / PA
SEASON · 497 PA
4.8%
68HR / BBE
SEASON · 314 BBE
7.6%
73Opposing Pitcher Profile
Gabriel Hughes (R) · vulnerability 42.9HR / BF
SEASON · 143 BF
1.4%
18HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 98 BBE
2.0%
21Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 98 BBE
4.1%
16Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 98 BBE
29.6%
10Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 98 BBE
87.3
31Max EV allowed
SEASON · 98 BBE
109.0
29Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 98 BBE
25.5%
41Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 98 BBE
22.4%
74xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 98 BBE
.407
33Strikeout %
SEASON · 143 BF
21.7%
52Whiff %
SEASON · 143 BF
17.3%
83Zone %
SEASON · 143 BF
51.3%
44Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.9 |
| L10 | 10 | 1 | 2.6% | 8.0% | 52.0% | 19.8 |
| L15 | 15 | 2 | 3.4% | 7.3% | 53.7% | 17.2 |
| L30 | 30 | 6 | 4.8% | 7.6% | 53.2% | 15.2 |
| SEASON | 118 | 24 | 4.8% | 10.8% | 51.0% | 14.4 |
| CAREER | 118 | 24 | 4.8% | 10.8% | 51.0% | 14.4 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Hard-hit rate grades 80 on the MLB scale
- +Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
- -Underlying contact quality trending down
- -Park and conditions suppress home runs
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed