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JakeMcCarthy

RF • Bats L • Throws R

COLCOLvsSFSF
4:05 PM ET
vs Blade Tidwell (R)
Oracle Park
PROJECTED · BATTING #1
Jake McCarthy headshot
Bomb Score
67
LIVERank #187 today
HR probability
11.3%
Confidence
74%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Opportunity
84
Recent
52
Power
45
  • · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
  • · Recent contact quality trending upward
  • · OPPORTUNITY 84
Signals
24/25
Power
45
Collision
39
Pitch Profile
39
02

Home Run Swing Window

Score 36.7
Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 309 BBE
10.2
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 309 BBE
39.8%
84
Barrel %
SEASON · 309 BBE
5.2%
36
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 309 BBE
25.9%
17
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 309 BBE
81.5
0
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 309 BBE
110.4
53
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 309 BBE
23.7%
72

Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band.

03

Collision Report

Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerability
Power
45×45=47
Barrel
36×36=44
Hard Hit
17×71=25
Pitch Match
28×55=39
Zone Match
24×48=36
Location Match
33
Pull Match
72×100=72
Fastball Match
37×78=39
Breaking Ball Match
18×27=38
Offspeed Match
Data limited
Contact Match
0×49=22
Platoon Match
37×58=42
04

Statcast Profile

Measured contact quality
Barrel %
SEASON · 309 BBE
5.2%
36
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 309 BBE
25.9%
17
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 309 BBE
39.8%
84
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 309 BBE
81.5
0
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 309 BBE
110.4
53
Launch Angle
SEASON · 309 BBE
10.2
Fly Ball %
SEASON · 309 BBE
23.0%
31
Pull %
SEASON · 309 BBE
53.9%
100
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 309 BBE
23.7%
72
xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 309 BBE
.359
44
xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 309 BBE
.499
66
ISO
SEASON · 399 PA
.206
69
SLG
SEASON · 399 PA
.511
88
HR / PA
SEASON · 399 PA
3.3%
51
HR / BBE
SEASON · 309 BBE
4.2%
44
05

Opposing Pitcher Profile

Blade Tidwell (R) · vulnerability 45.3
HR / BF
SEASON · 91 BF
1.1%
13
HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 66 BBE
1.5%
14
Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 66 BBE
6.1%
36
Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 66 BBE
43.9%
71
Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 66 BBE
88.7
49
Max EV allowed
SEASON · 66 BBE
118.5
100
Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 66 BBE
18.2%
13
Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 66 BBE
31.8%
100
xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 66 BBE
.430
45
Strikeout %
SEASON · 91 BF
20.9%
56
Whiff %
SEASON · 91 BF
27.1%
38
Zone %
SEASON · 91 BF
49.2%
54
06

Historical Trends

Point-in-time windows
WindowGHRHR/PABarrel %Hard %LA
L5500.0%0.0%11.8%18.6
L101024.8%5.6%30.6%11.8
L151534.6%3.5%28.1%13.9
L303043.0%2.9%25.7%10.7
SEASON99133.3%5.2%25.9%10.2
CAREER99133.3%5.2%25.9%10.2
07

Why He Ranks Here

Deterministic trace
  • +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
  • +Recent contact quality trending upward
  • -Park and conditions suppress home runs
  • -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed