Back to boardBomb Report
WilyerAbreu
RF • Bats L • Throws R
BOSvs
PIT1:35 PM ET
vs Lake Bachar (R)
PNC Park
CONFIRMED · BATTING #3
Bomb Score
96
NUCLEARRank #10 today
HR probability
20.3%
Confidence
87%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Environment
73
Recent
72
Opportunity
71
- · Elite barrel profile (12.9% of batted balls)
- · Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
- · Recent contact quality trending upward
Signals
24/25
Power
67
Collision
59
Pitch Profile
60
Home Run Swing Window
Score 65Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 342 BBE
18.5
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 342 BBE
38.3%
76Barrel %
SEASON · 342 BBE
12.9%
73Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 342 BBE
44.4%
64Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 342 BBE
90.0
63Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 342 BBE
113.1
71Pull-Air %
SEASON · 342 BBE
22.0%
67Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Top-end exit velocity of 113.1 mph clears the HR threshold.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
67×58=61
Barrel
73×73=68
Hard Hit
64×42=57
Pitch Match
63×51=60
Zone Match
60×58=59
Location Match
50
Pull Match
67×82=64
Fastball Match
76×74=71
Breaking Ball Match
60×39=56
Offspeed Match
36×35=44
Contact Match
63×50=58
Platoon Match
70×64=64
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 342 BBE
12.9%
73Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 342 BBE
44.4%
64Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 342 BBE
38.3%
76Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 342 BBE
90.0
63Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 342 BBE
113.1
71Launch Angle
SEASON · 342 BBE
18.5
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 342 BBE
36.1%
74Pull %
SEASON · 342 BBE
45.2%
73Pull-Air %
SEASON · 342 BBE
22.0%
67xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 342 BBE
.409
67xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 342 BBE
.636
100ISO
SEASON · 501 PA
.206
69SLG
SEASON · 501 PA
.459
68HR / PA
SEASON · 501 PA
4.0%
59HR / BBE
SEASON · 342 BBE
5.8%
59Opposing Pitcher Profile
Lake Bachar (R) · vulnerability 57.6HR / BF
SEASON · 259 BF
4.6%
74HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 167 BBE
7.2%
73Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 167 BBE
10.2%
73Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 167 BBE
37.1%
42Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 167 BBE
88.8
50Max EV allowed
SEASON · 167 BBE
110.9
45Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 167 BBE
34.1%
70Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 167 BBE
24.6%
82xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 167 BBE
.545
89Strikeout %
SEASON · 259 BF
25.1%
37Whiff %
SEASON · 259 BF
27.6%
36Zone %
SEASON · 259 BF
46.1%
70Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 2 | 9.5% | 25.0% | 75.0% | 20.6 |
| L10 | 10 | 3 | 7.3% | 20.7% | 75.9% | 20.1 |
| L15 | 15 | 7 | 10.9% | 22.7% | 65.9% | 21.6 |
| L30 | 30 | 11 | 8.7% | 18.4% | 54.0% | 22.2 |
| SEASON | 115 | 20 | 4.0% | 12.9% | 44.4% | 18.5 |
| CAREER | 115 | 20 | 4.0% | 12.9% | 44.4% | 18.5 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Elite barrel profile (12.9% of batted balls)
- +Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
- +Recent contact quality trending upward
- +Strong HR environment at this park today