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CeddanneRafaela

CF • Bats R • Throws R

BOS

BOSvs

PIT

PIT

1:35 PM ET

vs Lake Bachar (R)

PNC Park

CONFIRMED · BATTING #2

Bomb Score

76

BOMBRank #127 today

HR probability

12.5%

Confidence

87%

Data coverage

96%

Why he's live

Opportunity

78

Power

47

Collision

44

· OPPORTUNITY 78
· POWER 47
· COLLISION 44

Signals

24/25

Power

47

Collision

44

Pitch Profile

43

02

Home Run Swing Window

Score 41

Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)

SEASON · 351 BBE

11.7

—

Sweet-Spot %

SEASON · 351 BBE

37.3%

71

Barrel %

SEASON · 351 BBE

5.4%

38

Hard-Hit %

SEASON · 351 BBE

31.9%

32

Avg Exit Velo

SEASON · 351 BBE

85.9

28

Max Exit Velo

SEASON · 351 BBE

109.9

50

Pull-Air %

SEASON · 351 BBE

17.1%

50

Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band.

03

Collision Report

Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerability

Power

47×58=48

Barrel

38×73=40

Hard Hit

32×42=41

Pitch Match

38×48=43

Zone Match

42×58=47

Location Match

40

Pull Match

50×82=50

Fastball Match

39×61=43

Breaking Ball Match

35×44=42

Offspeed Match

56×17=52

Contact Match

28×50=37

Platoon Match

40×55=44

04

Statcast Profile

Measured contact quality

Barrel %

SEASON · 351 BBE

5.4%

38

Hard-Hit %

SEASON · 351 BBE

31.9%

32

Sweet-Spot %

SEASON · 351 BBE

37.3%

71

Avg Exit Velo

SEASON · 351 BBE

85.9

28

Max Exit Velo

SEASON · 351 BBE

109.9

50

Launch Angle

SEASON · 351 BBE

11.7

—

Fly Ball %

SEASON · 351 BBE

25.6%

41

Pull %

SEASON · 351 BBE

44.2%

69

Pull-Air %

SEASON · 351 BBE

17.1%

50

xwOBA (contact)

SEASON · 351 BBE

.333

32

xSLG (contact)

SEASON · 351 BBE

.463

56

ISO

SEASON · 475 PA

.180

58

SLG

SEASON · 475 PA

.470

72

HR / PA

SEASON · 475 PA

3.2%

49

HR / BBE

SEASON · 351 BBE

4.3%

44

05

Opposing Pitcher Profile

Lake Bachar (R) · vulnerability 57.6

HR / BF

SEASON · 259 BF

4.6%

74

HR / BBE allowed

SEASON · 167 BBE

7.2%

73

Barrel % allowed

SEASON · 167 BBE

10.2%

73

Hard-Hit % allowed

SEASON · 167 BBE

37.1%

42

Avg EV allowed

SEASON · 167 BBE

88.8

50

Max EV allowed

SEASON · 167 BBE

110.9

45

Fly Ball % allowed

SEASON · 167 BBE

34.1%

70

Pull-Air % allowed

SEASON · 167 BBE

24.6%

82

xSLG allowed (contact)

SEASON · 167 BBE

.545

89

Strikeout %

SEASON · 259 BF

25.1%

37

Whiff %

SEASON · 259 BF

27.6%

36

Zone %

SEASON · 259 BF

46.1%

70

06

Historical Trends

Point-in-time windows

Window	G	HR	HR/PA	Barrel %	Hard %	LA
L5	5	1	4.3%	5.9%	11.8%	15.0
L10	10	1	2.2%	2.9%	17.6%	14.7
L15	15	5	7.4%	9.8%	25.5%	15.6
L30	30	8	6.0%	7.1%	31.3%	17.2
SEASON	111	15	3.2%	5.4%	31.9%	11.7
CAREER	111	15	3.2%	5.4%	31.9%	11.7

07

Why He Ranks Here

Deterministic trace

-Underlying contact quality trending down