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EsmerlynValdez
RF • Bats R • Throws L
PITvs
BOS1:35 PM ET
vs Patrick Sandoval (L)
PNC Park
PROJECTED · BATTING #7
Bomb Score
87
NUCLEARRank #41 today
HR probability
20.3%
Confidence
74%
Data coverage
100%
Why he's live
Power
79
Swing Win
69
Platoon
62
- · Elite barrel profile (21.0% of batted balls)
- · Hard-hit rate grades 72 on the MLB scale
- · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
Signals
25/25
Power
79
Collision
59
Pitch Profile
59
Home Run Swing Window
Score 68.6Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 105 BBE
18.7
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 105 BBE
37.1%
70Barrel %
SEASON · 105 BBE
21.0%
100Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 105 BBE
47.6%
72Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 105 BBE
91.4
75Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 105 BBE
112.7
68Pull-Air %
SEASON · 105 BBE
26.7%
82Top-end exit velocity of 112.7 mph clears the HR threshold.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
79×41=64
Barrel
100×18=65
Hard Hit
72×12=55
Pitch Match
64×35=59
Zone Match
63×48=58
Location Match
53
Pull Match
82×48=68
Fastball Match
80×56=69
Breaking Ball Match
70×31=58
Offspeed Match
42×15=48
Contact Match
75×6=55
Platoon Match
82×27=62
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 105 BBE
21.0%
100Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 105 BBE
47.6%
72Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 105 BBE
37.1%
70Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 105 BBE
91.4
75Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 105 BBE
112.7
68Launch Angle
SEASON · 105 BBE
18.7
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 105 BBE
41.9%
92Pull %
SEASON · 105 BBE
46.7%
79Pull-Air %
SEASON · 105 BBE
26.7%
82xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 105 BBE
.486
100xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 105 BBE
.808
100ISO
SEASON · 216 PA
.302
100SLG
SEASON · 216 PA
.559
100HR / PA
SEASON · 216 PA
6.5%
85HR / BBE
SEASON · 105 BBE
13.3%
100Opposing Pitcher Profile
Patrick Sandoval (L) · vulnerability 40.5HR / BF
SEASON · 136 BF
2.2%
33HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 93 BBE
3.2%
35Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 93 BBE
4.3%
18Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 93 BBE
30.1%
12Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 93 BBE
85.4
6Max EV allowed
SEASON · 93 BBE
108.8
27Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 93 BBE
22.6%
30Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 93 BBE
16.1%
48xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 93 BBE
.528
83Strikeout %
SEASON · 136 BF
21.3%
53Whiff %
SEASON · 136 BF
21.8%
62Zone %
SEASON · 136 BF
49.0%
55Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 2.8 |
| L10 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 5.6% | 33.3% | 2.9 |
| L15 | 15 | 0 | 0.0% | 3.7% | 29.6% | 12.2 |
| L30 | 30 | 7 | 5.6% | 14.5% | 45.5% | 19.3 |
| SEASON | 55 | 14 | 6.5% | 21.0% | 47.6% | 18.7 |
| CAREER | 55 | 14 | 6.5% | 21.0% | 47.6% | 18.7 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Elite barrel profile (21.0% of batted balls)
- +Hard-hit rate grades 72 on the MLB scale
- +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- +Favourable platoon matchup vs LHP
- -Underlying contact quality trending down
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed