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RafaelFlores Jr.

C • Bats R • Throws L

PITPITvsBOSBOS
1:35 PM ET
vs Patrick Sandoval (L)
PNC Park
PROJECTED · BATTING #9
Rafael Flores Jr. headshot
Bomb Score
95
NUCLEARRank #14 today
HR probability
18.6%
Confidence
68%
Data coverage
100%
Why he's live
Power
68
Recent
59
Platoon
58
  • · Elite barrel profile (18.5% of batted balls)
  • · Hard-hit rate grades 73 on the MLB scale
  • · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
Signals
25/25
Power
68
Collision
57
Pitch Profile
54
02

Home Run Swing Window

Score 57
Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 27 BBE
14.3
—
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 27 BBE
40.7%
90
Barrel %
SEASON · 27 BBE
18.5%
97
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 27 BBE
48.1%
73
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 27 BBE
90.2
65
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 27 BBE
108.7
43
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 27 BBE
29.6%
92

Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Only 27 tracked batted balls — estimate shrunk toward league.

03

Collision Report

Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerability
Power
68×41=59
Barrel
97×18=64
Hard Hit
73×12=56
Pitch Match
62×35=54
Zone Match
61×53=55
Location Match
55
Pull Match
92×48=74
Fastball Match
50×56=50
Breaking Ball Match
67×31=57
Offspeed Match
72×15=56
Contact Match
65×6=53
Platoon Match
70×27=58
04

Statcast Profile

Measured contact quality
Barrel %
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
18.5%
97
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
48.1%
73
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
40.7%
90
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
90.2
65
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
108.7
43
Launch Angle
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
14.3
—
Fly Ball %
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
51.9%
100
Pull %
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
59.3%
100
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
29.6%
92
xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
.462
90
xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
.739
100
ISO
SEASON · 43 PA · fallback
.351
100
SLG
SEASON · 43 PA · fallback
.649
100
HR / PA
SEASON · 43 PA · fallback
9.3%
100
HR / BBE
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
14.8%
100
05

Opposing Pitcher Profile

Patrick Sandoval (L) · vulnerability 40.5
HR / BF
SEASON · 136 BF
2.2%
33
HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 93 BBE
3.2%
35
Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 93 BBE
4.3%
18
Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 93 BBE
30.1%
12
Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 93 BBE
85.4
6
Max EV allowed
SEASON · 93 BBE
108.8
27
Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 93 BBE
22.6%
30
Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 93 BBE
16.1%
48
xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 93 BBE
.528
83
Strikeout %
SEASON · 136 BF
21.3%
53
Whiff %
SEASON · 136 BF
21.8%
62
Zone %
SEASON · 136 BF
49.0%
55
06

Historical Trends

Point-in-time windows
WindowGHRHR/PABarrel %Hard %LA
L55316.7%27.3%72.7%8.4
L101038.8%19.0%52.4%15.9
L151349.3%18.5%48.1%14.3
L301349.3%18.5%48.1%14.3
SEASON1349.3%18.5%48.1%14.3
CAREER1349.3%18.5%48.1%14.3
07

Why He Ranks Here

Deterministic trace
  • +Elite barrel profile (18.5% of batted balls)
  • +Hard-hit rate grades 73 on the MLB scale
  • +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
  • +Favourable platoon matchup vs LHP
  • -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed
  • -Limited batted-ball sample (27 BBE) — estimate shrunk