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AbimelecOrtiz
1B • Bats L • Throws R
WSHvs
NYM1:40 PM ET
vs Christian Scott (R)
Citi Field
CONFIRMED · BATTING #2
Bomb Score
97
NUCLEARRank #6 today
HR probability
15.2%
Confidence
80%
Data coverage
100%
Why he's live
Opportunity
78
Power
71
Contact
62
- · Elite barrel profile (18.5% of batted balls)
- · Hard-hit rate grades 82 on the MLB scale
- · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
Signals
25/25
Power
71
Collision
61
Pitch Profile
62
Home Run Swing Window
Score 60.9Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 27 BBE
14.4
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 27 BBE
55.6%
100Barrel %
SEASON · 27 BBE
18.5%
97Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 27 BBE
51.9%
82Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 27 BBE
92.7
86Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 27 BBE
106.8
33Pull-Air %
SEASON · 27 BBE
38.5%
100Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Only 27 tracked batted balls — estimate shrunk toward league.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
71×43=61
Barrel
97×39=73
Hard Hit
82×34=64
Pitch Match
72×46=62
Zone Match
58×43=54
Location Match
54
Pull Match
100×73=89
Fastball Match
75×49=64
Breaking Ball Match
74×37=61
Offspeed Match
20×56=31
Contact Match
86×21=62
Platoon Match
75×38=62
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
18.5%
97Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
51.9%
82Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
55.6%
100Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
92.7
86Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
106.8
33Launch Angle
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
14.4
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
40.7%
88Pull %
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
61.5%
100Pull-Air %
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
38.5%
100xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
.540
100xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
.896
100ISO
SEASON · 37 PA · fallback
.361
100SLG
SEASON · 37 PA · fallback
.667
100HR / PA
SEASON · 37 PA · fallback
10.8%
100HR / BBE
SEASON · 27 BBE · fallback
14.8%
100Opposing Pitcher Profile
Christian Scott (R) · vulnerability 42.8HR / BF
SEASON · 340 BF
2.1%
31HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 202 BBE
3.5%
38Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 202 BBE
6.4%
39Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 202 BBE
35.1%
34Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 202 BBE
86.6
21Max EV allowed
SEASON · 202 BBE
112.8
63Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 202 BBE
25.7%
42Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 202 BBE
22.3%
73xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 202 BBE
.522
81Strikeout %
SEASON · 340 BF
28.8%
21Whiff %
SEASON · 340 BF
24.5%
50Zone %
SEASON · 340 BF
50.2%
49Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 2 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 50.0% | 10.0 |
| L10 | 10 | 3 | 9.7% | 19.0% | 47.6% | 12.5 |
| L15 | 13 | 4 | 10.8% | 18.5% | 51.9% | 14.4 |
| L30 | 13 | 4 | 10.8% | 18.5% | 51.9% | 14.4 |
| SEASON | 13 | 4 | 10.8% | 18.5% | 51.9% | 14.4 |
| CAREER | 13 | 4 | 10.8% | 18.5% | 51.9% | 14.4 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Elite barrel profile (18.5% of batted balls)
- +Hard-hit rate grades 82 on the MLB scale
- +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- +Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
- -Underlying contact quality trending down
- -Limited batted-ball sample (27 BBE) — estimate shrunk