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JakeBauers
RF • Bats L • Throws L
MILvs
LAD4:10 PM ET
vs Tarik Skubal (L)
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
PROJECTED · BATTING #3
Bomb Score
94
NUCLEARRank #16 today
HR probability
13.5%
Confidence
82%
Data coverage
100%
Why he's live
Power
73
Environment
73
Opportunity
69
- · Elite barrel profile (14.1% of batted balls)
- · Hard-hit rate grades 85 on the MLB scale
- · Top-end exit velocity of 114.8 mph
Signals
25/25
Power
73
Collision
58
Pitch Profile
52
Home Run Swing Window
Score 63.6Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 249 BBE
10.6
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 249 BBE
36.9%
69Barrel %
SEASON · 249 BBE
14.1%
78Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 249 BBE
53.0%
85Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 249 BBE
92.5
84Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 249 BBE
114.8
82Pull-Air %
SEASON · 249 BBE
21.7%
66Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Top-end exit velocity of 114.8 mph clears the HR threshold.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
73×37=61
Barrel
78×50=66
Hard Hit
85×34=65
Pitch Match
56×44=52
Zone Match
65×51=61
Location Match
54
Pull Match
66×59=60
Fastball Match
50×53=51
Breaking Ball Match
58×43=54
Offspeed Match
75×17=57
Contact Match
84×9=58
Platoon Match
60×56=56
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 249 BBE
14.1%
78Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 249 BBE
53.0%
85Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 249 BBE
36.9%
69Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 249 BBE
92.5
84Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 249 BBE
114.8
82Launch Angle
SEASON · 249 BBE
10.6
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 249 BBE
31.7%
61Pull %
SEASON · 249 BBE
53.4%
100Pull-Air %
SEASON · 249 BBE
21.7%
66xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 249 BBE
.445
82xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 249 BBE
.685
100ISO
SEASON · 421 PA
.221
74SLG
SEASON · 421 PA
.484
78HR / PA
SEASON · 421 PA
4.5%
64HR / BBE
SEASON · 249 BBE
7.6%
73Opposing Pitcher Profile
Tarik Skubal (L) · vulnerability 37.3HR / BF
SEASON · 398 BF
3.0%
48HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
4.8%
52Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
7.5%
50Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
35.3%
34Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
85.7
9Max EV allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
111.8
53Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
25.4%
40Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
18.7%
59xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 252 BBE
.520
80Strikeout %
SEASON · 398 BF
30.7%
13Whiff %
SEASON · 398 BF
30.4%
23Zone %
SEASON · 398 BF
49.1%
54Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 15.4% | 38.5% | 13.0 |
| L10 | 10 | 1 | 2.4% | 17.4% | 47.8% | 17.0 |
| L15 | 15 | 3 | 4.9% | 17.5% | 50.0% | 11.6 |
| L30 | 30 | 5 | 4.2% | 16.2% | 51.5% | 12.4 |
| SEASON | 106 | 19 | 4.5% | 14.1% | 53.0% | 10.6 |
| CAREER | 106 | 19 | 4.5% | 14.1% | 53.0% | 10.6 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Elite barrel profile (14.1% of batted balls)
- +Hard-hit rate grades 85 on the MLB scale
- +Top-end exit velocity of 114.8 mph
- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Underlying contact quality trending down
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed