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ShoheiOhtani
DH • Bats L • Throws R
LADvs
MIL4:10 PM ET
vs Logan Henderson (R)
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
PROJECTED · BATTING #1
Bomb Score
99
NUCLEARRank #2 today
HR probability
20.6%
Confidence
78%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Opportunity
84
Power
82
Environment
73
- · Elite barrel profile (16.4% of batted balls)
- · Hard-hit rate grades 85 on the MLB scale
- · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
Signals
24/25
Power
82
Collision
68
Pitch Profile
66
Home Run Swing Window
Score 71.1Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 311 BBE
13.2
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 311 BBE
41.5%
94Barrel %
SEASON · 311 BBE
16.4%
88Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 311 BBE
53.1%
85Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 311 BBE
93.5
93Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 311 BBE
114.6
81Pull-Air %
SEASON · 311 BBE
24.8%
76Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Top-end exit velocity of 114.6 mph clears the HR threshold.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
82×49=68
Barrel
88×62=76
Hard Hit
85×38=67
Pitch Match
76×53=66
Zone Match
74×55=67
Location Match
63
Pull Match
76×100=76
Fastball Match
80×63=71
Breaking Ball Match
Data limitedOffspeed Match
68×35=58
Contact Match
93×32=68
Platoon Match
81×56=70
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 311 BBE
16.4%
88Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 311 BBE
53.1%
85Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 311 BBE
41.5%
94Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 311 BBE
93.5
93Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 311 BBE
114.6
81Launch Angle
SEASON · 311 BBE
13.2
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 311 BBE
31.2%
60Pull %
SEASON · 311 BBE
57.9%
100Pull-Air %
SEASON · 311 BBE
24.8%
76xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 311 BBE
.512
100xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 311 BBE
.804
100ISO
SEASON · 499 PA
.262
91SLG
SEASON · 499 PA
.554
100HR / PA
SEASON · 499 PA
5.4%
74HR / BBE
SEASON · 311 BBE
8.7%
82Opposing Pitcher Profile
Logan Henderson (R) · vulnerability 49.3HR / BF
SEASON · 217 BF
4.1%
67HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 135 BBE
6.7%
69Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 135 BBE
8.9%
62Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 135 BBE
36.3%
38Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 135 BBE
87.4
32Max EV allowed
SEASON · 135 BBE
111.1
47Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 135 BBE
28.1%
51Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 135 BBE
31.9%
100xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 135 BBE
.508
76Strikeout %
SEASON · 217 BF
31.8%
8Whiff %
SEASON · 217 BF
23.7%
54Zone %
SEASON · 217 BF
56.6%
17Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 1 | 4.8% | 15.4% | 53.8% | 20.7 |
| L10 | 10 | 3 | 7.1% | 18.5% | 48.1% | 16.5 |
| L15 | 15 | 4 | 6.3% | 14.3% | 42.9% | 15.1 |
| L30 | 30 | 7 | 5.4% | 16.1% | 51.7% | 14.7 |
| SEASON | 109 | 27 | 5.4% | 16.4% | 53.1% | 13.2 |
| CAREER | 109 | 27 | 5.4% | 16.4% | 53.1% | 13.2 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Elite barrel profile (16.4% of batted balls)
- +Hard-hit rate grades 85 on the MLB scale
- +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- +Top-end exit velocity of 114.6 mph
- +Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Underlying contact quality trending down
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed