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WilliamContreras
DH • Bats R • Throws L
MILvs
LAD4:10 PM ET
vs Tarik Skubal (L)
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
PROJECTED · BATTING #2
Bomb Score
70
BOMBRank #172 today
HR probability
13.1%
Confidence
81%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Opportunity
76
Environment
70
Recent
68
- · Recent contact quality trending upward
- · Strong HR environment at this park today
- · OPPORTUNITY 76
Signals
24/25
Power
48
Collision
50
Pitch Profile
46
Home Run Swing Window
Score 47.4Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 358 BBE
11.2
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 358 BBE
32.1%
43Barrel %
SEASON · 358 BBE
7.8%
51Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 358 BBE
43.9%
62Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 358 BBE
90.0
63Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 358 BBE
112.8
69Pull-Air %
SEASON · 358 BBE
16.2%
47Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Top-end exit velocity of 112.8 mph clears the HR threshold.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
48×37=49
Barrel
51×50=51
Hard Hit
62×34=55
Pitch Match
42×40=46
Zone Match
56×51=56
Location Match
49
Pull Match
47×59=48
Fastball Match
45×45=47
Breaking Ball Match
46×42=48
Offspeed Match
31×31=42
Contact Match
63×9=53
Platoon Match
54×37=52
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 358 BBE
7.8%
51Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 358 BBE
43.9%
62Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 358 BBE
32.1%
43Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 358 BBE
90.0
63Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 358 BBE
112.8
69Launch Angle
SEASON · 358 BBE
11.2
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 358 BBE
25.4%
40Pull %
SEASON · 358 BBE
43.3%
66Pull-Air %
SEASON · 358 BBE
16.2%
47xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 358 BBE
.349
40xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 358 BBE
.517
71ISO
SEASON · 466 PA
.120
30SLG
SEASON · 466 PA
.382
38HR / PA
SEASON · 466 PA
2.4%
39HR / BBE
SEASON · 358 BBE
3.1%
32Opposing Pitcher Profile
Tarik Skubal (L) · vulnerability 37.3HR / BF
SEASON · 398 BF
3.0%
48HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
4.8%
52Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
7.5%
50Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
35.3%
34Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
85.7
9Max EV allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
111.8
53Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
25.4%
40Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
18.7%
59xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 252 BBE
.520
80Strikeout %
SEASON · 398 BF
30.7%
13Whiff %
SEASON · 398 BF
30.4%
23Zone %
SEASON · 398 BF
49.1%
54Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 1 | 4.8% | 20.0% | 60.0% | 17.4 |
| L10 | 10 | 2 | 5.1% | 17.9% | 57.1% | 11.9 |
| L15 | 15 | 2 | 3.3% | 14.0% | 51.2% | 15.5 |
| L30 | 30 | 3 | 2.5% | 11.4% | 45.5% | 12.5 |
| SEASON | 110 | 11 | 2.4% | 7.8% | 43.9% | 11.2 |
| CAREER | 110 | 11 | 2.4% | 7.8% | 43.9% | 11.2 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Recent contact quality trending upward
- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed