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DavidHamilton
3B • Bats L • Throws L
MILvs
LAD4:10 PM ET
vs Tarik Skubal (L)
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
PROJECTED · BATTING #5
Bomb Score
33
FADERank #261 today
HR probability
5.8%
Confidence
81%
Data coverage
100%
Why he's live
Environment
73
Opportunity
50
Contact
39
- · Strong HR environment at this park today
- · ENVIRONMENT 73
- · OPPORTUNITY 50
Signals
25/25
Power
27
Collision
37
Pitch Profile
34
Home Run Swing Window
Score 27Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 192 BBE
5.8
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 192 BBE
28.6%
24Barrel %
SEASON · 192 BBE
3.6%
27Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 192 BBE
27.1%
20Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 192 BBE
78.8
0Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 192 BBE
109.9
50Pull-Air %
SEASON · 192 BBE
15.1%
42Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
27×37=39
Barrel
27×50=37
Hard Hit
20×34=37
Pitch Match
21×44=34
Zone Match
18×51=32
Location Match
33
Pull Match
42×59=45
Fastball Match
19×53=31
Breaking Ball Match
23×43=37
Offspeed Match
26×17=43
Contact Match
0×9=39
Platoon Match
24×56=34
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 192 BBE
3.6%
27Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 192 BBE
27.1%
20Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 192 BBE
28.6%
24Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 192 BBE
78.8
0Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 192 BBE
109.9
50Launch Angle
SEASON · 192 BBE
5.8
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 192 BBE
25.0%
39Pull %
SEASON · 192 BBE
45.3%
74Pull-Air %
SEASON · 192 BBE
15.1%
42xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 192 BBE
.293
12xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 192 BBE
.398
34ISO
SEASON · 287 PA
.088
14SLG
SEASON · 287 PA
.325
14HR / PA
SEASON · 287 PA
1.0%
21HR / BBE
SEASON · 192 BBE
1.6%
15Opposing Pitcher Profile
Tarik Skubal (L) · vulnerability 37.3HR / BF
SEASON · 398 BF
3.0%
48HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
4.8%
52Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
7.5%
50Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
35.3%
34Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
85.7
9Max EV allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
111.8
53Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
25.4%
40Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
18.7%
59xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 252 BBE
.520
80Strikeout %
SEASON · 398 BF
30.7%
13Whiff %
SEASON · 398 BF
30.4%
23Zone %
SEASON · 398 BF
49.1%
54Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.2% | 1.4 |
| L10 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.8% | 2.6 |
| L15 | 15 | 0 | 0.0% | 3.2% | 25.8% | 13.7 |
| L30 | 30 | 0 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 25.4% | 7.1 |
| SEASON | 85 | 3 | 1.0% | 3.6% | 27.1% | 5.8 |
| CAREER | 85 | 3 | 1.0% | 3.6% | 27.1% | 5.8 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Below-average barrel rate
- -Poor matchup against the starter's 4-Seam
- -Underlying contact quality trending down
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed