Back to boardBomb Report
GarrettMitchell
CF • Bats L • Throws L
MILvs
LAD4:10 PM ET
vs Tarik Skubal (L)
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
PROJECTED · BATTING #4
Bomb Score
79
HOT BOMBRank #104 today
HR probability
9.2%
Confidence
82%
Data coverage
100%
Why he's live
Environment
73
Opportunity
61
Contact
58
- · Elite barrel profile (13.3% of batted balls)
- · Hard-hit rate grades 79 on the MLB scale
- · Top-end exit velocity of 115.5 mph
Signals
25/25
Power
57
Collision
52
Pitch Profile
47
Home Run Swing Window
Score 47Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 218 BBE
1.6
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 218 BBE
33.9%
52Barrel %
SEASON · 218 BBE
13.3%
75Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 218 BBE
50.5%
79Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 218 BBE
92.4
83Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 218 BBE
115.5
87Pull-Air %
SEASON · 218 BBE
11.0%
24Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Top-end exit velocity of 115.5 mph clears the HR threshold.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
57×37=53
Barrel
75×50=64
Hard Hit
79×34=63
Pitch Match
43×44=47
Zone Match
63×51=59
Location Match
54
Pull Match
24×59=33
Fastball Match
42×53=45
Breaking Ball Match
59×43=55
Offspeed Match
34×17=45
Contact Match
83×9=58
Platoon Match
48×56=49
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 218 BBE
13.3%
75Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 218 BBE
50.5%
79Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 218 BBE
33.9%
52Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 218 BBE
92.4
83Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 218 BBE
115.5
87Launch Angle
SEASON · 218 BBE
1.6
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 218 BBE
17.0%
9Pull %
SEASON · 218 BBE
47.2%
81Pull-Air %
SEASON · 218 BBE
11.0%
24xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 218 BBE
.470
93xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 218 BBE
.701
100ISO
SEASON · 401 PA
.155
47SLG
SEASON · 401 PA
.401
46HR / PA
SEASON · 401 PA
2.0%
34HR / BBE
SEASON · 218 BBE
3.7%
38Opposing Pitcher Profile
Tarik Skubal (L) · vulnerability 37.3HR / BF
SEASON · 398 BF
3.0%
48HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
4.8%
52Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
7.5%
50Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
35.3%
34Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
85.7
9Max EV allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
111.8
53Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
25.4%
40Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
18.7%
59xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 252 BBE
.520
80Strikeout %
SEASON · 398 BF
30.7%
13Whiff %
SEASON · 398 BF
30.4%
23Zone %
SEASON · 398 BF
49.1%
54Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 42.9% | -4.7 |
| L10 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55.6% | -3.4 |
| L15 | 15 | 0 | 0.0% | 7.4% | 59.3% | -5.0 |
| L30 | 30 | 0 | 0.0% | 6.2% | 47.7% | -6.5 |
| SEASON | 107 | 8 | 2.0% | 13.3% | 50.5% | 1.6 |
| CAREER | 107 | 8 | 2.0% | 13.3% | 50.5% | 1.6 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Elite barrel profile (13.3% of batted balls)
- +Hard-hit rate grades 79 on the MLB scale
- +Top-end exit velocity of 115.5 mph
- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Rarely lifts the ball to the pull side
- -Underlying contact quality trending down
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed