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JoeyOrtiz
SS • Bats R • Throws L
MILvs
LAD4:10 PM ET
vs Tarik Skubal (L)
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
PROJECTED · BATTING #9
Bomb Score
69
LIVERank #177 today
HR probability
6.8%
Confidence
81%
Data coverage
100%
Why he's live
Environment
70
Contact
46
Recent
46
- · Strong HR environment at this park today
- · ENVIRONMENT 70
- · CONTACT 46
Signals
25/25
Power
38
Collision
44
Pitch Profile
45
Home Run Swing Window
Score 34.9Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 208 BBE
4.6
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 208 BBE
29.8%
30Barrel %
SEASON · 208 BBE
3.8%
28Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 208 BBE
36.1%
43Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 208 BBE
86.5
33Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 208 BBE
110.8
55Pull-Air %
SEASON · 208 BBE
15.9%
45Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
38×37=45
Barrel
28×50=37
Hard Hit
43×34=47
Pitch Match
39×40=45
Zone Match
39×51=45
Location Match
42
Pull Match
45×59=47
Fastball Match
43×45=46
Breaking Ball Match
40×42=45
Offspeed Match
31×31=42
Contact Match
33×9=46
Platoon Match
41×37=46
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 208 BBE
3.8%
28Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 208 BBE
36.1%
43Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 208 BBE
29.8%
30Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 208 BBE
86.5
33Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 208 BBE
110.8
55Launch Angle
SEASON · 208 BBE
4.6
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 208 BBE
21.6%
26Pull %
SEASON · 208 BBE
46.2%
77Pull-Air %
SEASON · 208 BBE
15.9%
45xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 208 BBE
.321
26xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 208 BBE
.426
45ISO
SEASON · 283 PA
.133
36SLG
SEASON · 283 PA
.373
34HR / PA
SEASON · 283 PA
2.1%
35HR / BBE
SEASON · 208 BBE
2.9%
30Opposing Pitcher Profile
Tarik Skubal (L) · vulnerability 37.3HR / BF
SEASON · 398 BF
3.0%
48HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
4.8%
52Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
7.5%
50Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
35.3%
34Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
85.7
9Max EV allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
111.8
53Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
25.4%
40Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
18.7%
59xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 252 BBE
.520
80Strikeout %
SEASON · 398 BF
30.7%
13Whiff %
SEASON · 398 BF
30.4%
23Zone %
SEASON · 398 BF
49.1%
54Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 1 | 5.6% | 8.3% | 58.3% | 10.3 |
| L10 | 10 | 1 | 2.7% | 3.7% | 40.7% | 2.9 |
| L15 | 15 | 2 | 3.7% | 5.6% | 47.2% | 5.4 |
| L30 | 30 | 4 | 3.8% | 5.1% | 41.8% | 4.4 |
| SEASON | 85 | 6 | 2.1% | 3.8% | 36.1% | 4.6 |
| CAREER | 85 | 6 | 2.1% | 3.8% | 36.1% | 4.6 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Below-average barrel rate
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed