Back to boardBomb Report
JacksonChourio
LF • Bats R • Throws L
MILvs
LAD4:10 PM ET
vs Tarik Skubal (L)
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
PROJECTED · BATTING #1
Bomb Score
84
HOT BOMBRank #60 today
HR probability
11.4%
Confidence
82%
Data coverage
100%
Why he's live
Opportunity
84
Environment
70
Power
62
- · Elite barrel profile (13.0% of batted balls)
- · Strong HR environment at this park today
- · OPPORTUNITY 84
Signals
25/25
Power
62
Collision
54
Pitch Profile
57
Home Run Swing Window
Score 50.6Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 269 BBE
11.8
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 269 BBE
33.5%
50Barrel %
SEASON · 269 BBE
13.0%
74Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 269 BBE
46.8%
70Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 269 BBE
91.8
79Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 269 BBE
113.3
72Pull-Air %
SEASON · 269 BBE
11.5%
27Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Top-end exit velocity of 113.3 mph clears the HR threshold.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
62×37=56
Barrel
74×50=64
Hard Hit
70×34=59
Pitch Match
63×40=57
Zone Match
61×51=59
Location Match
53
Pull Match
27×59=35
Fastball Match
74×45=63
Breaking Ball Match
56×42=52
Offspeed Match
45×31=48
Contact Match
79×9=57
Platoon Match
63×37=56
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 269 BBE
13.0%
74Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 269 BBE
46.8%
70Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 269 BBE
33.5%
50Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 269 BBE
91.8
79Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 269 BBE
113.3
72Launch Angle
SEASON · 269 BBE
11.8
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 269 BBE
28.6%
52Pull %
SEASON · 269 BBE
39.8%
53Pull-Air %
SEASON · 269 BBE
11.5%
27xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 269 BBE
.415
70xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 269 BBE
.636
100ISO
SEASON · 404 PA
.184
60SLG
SEASON · 404 PA
.453
66HR / PA
SEASON · 404 PA
4.0%
58HR / BBE
SEASON · 269 BBE
5.9%
59Opposing Pitcher Profile
Tarik Skubal (L) · vulnerability 37.3HR / BF
SEASON · 398 BF
3.0%
48HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
4.8%
52Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
7.5%
50Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
35.3%
34Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
85.7
9Max EV allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
111.8
53Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
25.4%
40Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 252 BBE
18.7%
59xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 252 BBE
.520
80Strikeout %
SEASON · 398 BF
30.7%
13Whiff %
SEASON · 398 BF
30.4%
23Zone %
SEASON · 398 BF
49.1%
54Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 13.9 |
| L10 | 10 | 2 | 5.0% | 13.0% | 47.8% | 11.0 |
| L15 | 15 | 3 | 4.9% | 16.7% | 61.1% | 12.9 |
| L30 | 30 | 3 | 2.4% | 11.3% | 47.5% | 8.4 |
| SEASON | 90 | 16 | 4.0% | 13.0% | 46.8% | 11.8 |
| CAREER | 90 | 16 | 4.0% | 13.0% | 46.8% | 11.8 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Elite barrel profile (13.0% of batted balls)
- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Rarely lifts the ball to the pull side
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed