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JoshNaylor
1B • Bats L • Throws R
SEAvs
HOU7:20 PM ET
vs Hunter Brown (R)
Daikin Park
PROJECTED · BATTING #8
Bomb Score
81
HOT BOMBRank #86 today
HR probability
—
Confidence
79%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Environment
87
Recent
56
Pitch Match
49
- · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- · Recent contact quality trending upward
- · Strong HR environment at this park today
Signals
24/25
Power
44
Collision
48
Pitch Profile
49
Home Run Swing Window
Score 47.4Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 365 BBE
12.9
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 365 BBE
36.7%
68Barrel %
SEASON · 365 BBE
4.9%
35Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 365 BBE
36.7%
44Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 365 BBE
87.3
40Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 365 BBE
111.5
60Pull-Air %
SEASON · 365 BBE
23.0%
70Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
44×40=47
Barrel
35×52=41
Hard Hit
44×42=47
Pitch Match
49×53=49
Zone Match
43×54=46
Location Match
43
Pull Match
70×45=61
Fastball Match
49×57=49
Breaking Ball Match
49×55=50
Offspeed Match
46×35=48
Contact Match
40×1=49
Platoon Match
47×70=47
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 365 BBE
4.9%
35Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 365 BBE
36.7%
44Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 365 BBE
36.7%
68Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 365 BBE
87.3
40Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 365 BBE
111.5
60Launch Angle
SEASON · 365 BBE
12.9
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 365 BBE
22.7%
30Pull %
SEASON · 365 BBE
51.0%
95Pull-Air %
SEASON · 365 BBE
23.0%
70xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 365 BBE
.337
33xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 365 BBE
.464
57ISO
SEASON · 466 PA
.114
27SLG
SEASON · 466 PA
.390
42HR / PA
SEASON · 466 PA
2.1%
36HR / BBE
SEASON · 365 BBE
2.7%
28Opposing Pitcher Profile
Hunter Brown (R) · vulnerability 39.8HR / BF
SEASON · 228 BF
3.5%
57HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 143 BBE
5.6%
59Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 143 BBE
7.7%
52Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 143 BBE
37.1%
42Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 143 BBE
85.0
1Max EV allowed
SEASON · 143 BBE
112.0
55Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 143 BBE
21.0%
24Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 143 BBE
15.4%
45xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 143 BBE
.491
69Strikeout %
SEASON · 228 BF
21.9%
50Whiff %
SEASON · 228 BF
25.4%
46Zone %
SEASON · 228 BF
43.0%
85Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 7.1% | 42.9% | 3.3 |
| L10 | 10 | 2 | 5.0% | 10.7% | 42.9% | 10.4 |
| L15 | 15 | 2 | 3.3% | 6.8% | 38.6% | 11.4 |
| L30 | 30 | 2 | 1.6% | 5.4% | 33.7% | 7.9 |
| SEASON | 109 | 10 | 2.1% | 4.9% | 36.7% | 12.9 |
| CAREER | 109 | 10 | 2.1% | 4.9% | 36.7% | 12.9 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- +Recent contact quality trending upward
- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed