Back to boardBomb Report
King Bomb

YordanAlvarez

DH • Bats L • Throws R

HOUHOUvsSEASEA
7:20 PM ET
vs Bryan Woo (R)
Daikin Park
PROJECTED · BATTING #6
Yordan Alvarez headshot
Bomb Score
100
NUCLEARRank #1 today
HR probability
Confidence
82%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Power
90
Environment
86
Contact
84
  • · Elite barrel profile (17.6% of batted balls)
  • · Hard-hit rate grades 86 on the MLB scale
  • · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
Signals
24/25
Power
90
Collision
72
Pitch Profile
73
02

Home Run Swing Window

Score 82.8
Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 336 BBE
19.4
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 336 BBE
43.2%
100
Barrel %
SEASON · 336 BBE
17.6%
93
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 336 BBE
53.3%
86
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 336 BBE
94.4
100
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 336 BBE
118.5
100
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 336 BBE
28.7%
89

Top-end exit velocity of 118.5 mph clears the HR threshold.

03

Collision Report

Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerability
Power
90×57=75
Barrel
93×44=73
Hard Hit
86×71=77
Pitch Match
83×64=73
Zone Match
77×46=65
Location Match
60
Pull Match
89×58=75
Fastball Match
84×70=76
Breaking Ball Match
81×65=72
Offspeed Match
76×27=60
Contact Match
100×61=84
Platoon Match
90×69=80
04

Statcast Profile

Measured contact quality
Barrel %
SEASON · 336 BBE
17.6%
93
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 336 BBE
53.3%
86
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 336 BBE
43.2%
100
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 336 BBE
94.4
100
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 336 BBE
118.5
100
Launch Angle
SEASON · 336 BBE
19.4
Fly Ball %
SEASON · 336 BBE
37.8%
79
Pull %
SEASON · 336 BBE
48.1%
84
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 336 BBE
28.7%
89
xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 336 BBE
.527
100
xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 336 BBE
.845
100
ISO
SEASON · 507 PA
.293
100
SLG
SEASON · 507 PA
.614
100
HR / PA
SEASON · 507 PA
6.5%
86
HR / BBE
SEASON · 336 BBE
9.8%
91
05

Opposing Pitcher Profile

Bryan Woo (R) · vulnerability 56.7
HR / BF
SEASON · 519 BF
2.5%
39
HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 362 BBE
3.6%
39
Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 362 BBE
6.9%
44
Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 362 BBE
43.9%
71
Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 362 BBE
89.7
61
Max EV allowed
SEASON · 362 BBE
114.3
78
Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 362 BBE
28.7%
52
Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 362 BBE
18.5%
58
xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 362 BBE
.524
82
Strikeout %
SEASON · 519 BF
23.7%
43
Whiff %
SEASON · 519 BF
21.2%
65
Zone %
SEASON · 519 BF
51.0%
45
06

Historical Trends

Point-in-time windows
WindowGHRHR/PABarrel %Hard %LA
L5514.5%18.8%50.0%22.9
L101012.4%14.3%50.0%17.4
L151511.5%11.6%51.2%16.7
L303075.2%15.3%52.9%18.2
SEASON116336.5%17.6%53.3%19.4
CAREER116336.5%17.6%53.3%19.4
07

Why He Ranks #1 Today

Deterministic trace
  • +Elite barrel profile (17.6% of batted balls)
  • +Hard-hit rate grades 86 on the MLB scale
  • +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
  • +Top-end exit velocity of 118.5 mph
  • +Swing plane sits inside the HR launch window
  • +Excellent collision against the starter's Sweeper
  • +Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
  • +Strong HR environment at this park today
  • -Underlying contact quality trending down
  • -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed