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King Bomb
YordanAlvarez
DH • Bats L • Throws R
7:20 PM ET
vs Bryan Woo (R)
Daikin Park
PROJECTED · BATTING #6
Bomb Score
100
NUCLEARRank #1 today
HR probability
—
Confidence
82%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Power
90
Environment
86
Contact
84
- · Elite barrel profile (17.6% of batted balls)
- · Hard-hit rate grades 86 on the MLB scale
- · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
Signals
24/25
Power
90
Collision
72
Pitch Profile
73
Home Run Swing Window
Score 82.8Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 336 BBE
19.4
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 336 BBE
43.2%
100Barrel %
SEASON · 336 BBE
17.6%
93Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 336 BBE
53.3%
86Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 336 BBE
94.4
100Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 336 BBE
118.5
100Pull-Air %
SEASON · 336 BBE
28.7%
89Top-end exit velocity of 118.5 mph clears the HR threshold.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
90×57=75
Barrel
93×44=73
Hard Hit
86×71=77
Pitch Match
83×64=73
Zone Match
77×46=65
Location Match
60
Pull Match
89×58=75
Fastball Match
84×70=76
Breaking Ball Match
81×65=72
Offspeed Match
76×27=60
Contact Match
100×61=84
Platoon Match
90×69=80
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 336 BBE
17.6%
93Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 336 BBE
53.3%
86Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 336 BBE
43.2%
100Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 336 BBE
94.4
100Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 336 BBE
118.5
100Launch Angle
SEASON · 336 BBE
19.4
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 336 BBE
37.8%
79Pull %
SEASON · 336 BBE
48.1%
84Pull-Air %
SEASON · 336 BBE
28.7%
89xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 336 BBE
.527
100xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 336 BBE
.845
100ISO
SEASON · 507 PA
.293
100SLG
SEASON · 507 PA
.614
100HR / PA
SEASON · 507 PA
6.5%
86HR / BBE
SEASON · 336 BBE
9.8%
91Opposing Pitcher Profile
Bryan Woo (R) · vulnerability 56.7HR / BF
SEASON · 519 BF
2.5%
39HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 362 BBE
3.6%
39Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 362 BBE
6.9%
44Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 362 BBE
43.9%
71Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 362 BBE
89.7
61Max EV allowed
SEASON · 362 BBE
114.3
78Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 362 BBE
28.7%
52Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 362 BBE
18.5%
58xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 362 BBE
.524
82Strikeout %
SEASON · 519 BF
23.7%
43Whiff %
SEASON · 519 BF
21.2%
65Zone %
SEASON · 519 BF
51.0%
45Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 1 | 4.5% | 18.8% | 50.0% | 22.9 |
| L10 | 10 | 1 | 2.4% | 14.3% | 50.0% | 17.4 |
| L15 | 15 | 1 | 1.5% | 11.6% | 51.2% | 16.7 |
| L30 | 30 | 7 | 5.2% | 15.3% | 52.9% | 18.2 |
| SEASON | 116 | 33 | 6.5% | 17.6% | 53.3% | 19.4 |
| CAREER | 116 | 33 | 6.5% | 17.6% | 53.3% | 19.4 |
Why He Ranks #1 Today
Deterministic trace- +Elite barrel profile (17.6% of batted balls)
- +Hard-hit rate grades 86 on the MLB scale
- +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- +Top-end exit velocity of 118.5 mph
- +Swing plane sits inside the HR launch window
- +Excellent collision against the starter's Sweeper
- +Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Underlying contact quality trending down
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed
