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BrendanDonovan

3B • Bats L • Throws R

SEASEAvsHOUHOU
7:20 PM ET
vs Hunter Brown (R)
Daikin Park
PROJECTED · BATTING #4
Brendan Donovan headshot
Bomb Score
59
WATCHRank #218 today
HR probability
6.7%
Confidence
75%
Data coverage
100%
Why he's live
Environment
87
Opportunity
61
Contact
45
  • · Strong HR environment at this park today
  • · ENVIRONMENT 87
  • · OPPORTUNITY 61
Signals
25/25
Power
29
Collision
37
Pitch Profile
35
02

Home Run Swing Window

Score 34.3
Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 85 BBE
11.5
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 85 BBE
30.6%
34
Barrel %
SEASON · 85 BBE
1.2%
12
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 85 BBE
25.9%
17
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 85 BBE
84.7
18
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 85 BBE
109.6
48
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 85 BBE
15.3%
43

Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band.

03

Collision Report

Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerability
Power
29×40=40
Barrel
12×52=28
Hard Hit
17×42=34
Pitch Match
26×53=35
Zone Match
32×54=40
Location Match
37
Pull Match
43×45=46
Fastball Match
28×57=36
Breaking Ball Match
18×55=30
Offspeed Match
28×35=40
Contact Match
18×1=45
Platoon Match
37×70=40
04

Statcast Profile

Measured contact quality
Barrel %
SEASON · 85 BBE
1.2%
12
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 85 BBE
25.9%
17
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 85 BBE
30.6%
34
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 85 BBE
84.7
18
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 85 BBE
109.6
48
Launch Angle
SEASON · 85 BBE
11.5
Fly Ball %
SEASON · 85 BBE
23.5%
33
Pull %
SEASON · 85 BBE
48.2%
85
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 85 BBE
15.3%
43
xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 85 BBE
.266
0
xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 85 BBE
.358
19
ISO
SEASON · 110 PA
.093
16
SLG
SEASON · 110 PA
.320
11
HR / PA
SEASON · 110 PA
0.9%
19
HR / BBE
SEASON · 85 BBE
1.2%
11
05

Opposing Pitcher Profile

Hunter Brown (R) · vulnerability 39.8
HR / BF
SEASON · 228 BF
3.5%
57
HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 143 BBE
5.6%
59
Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 143 BBE
7.7%
52
Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 143 BBE
37.1%
42
Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 143 BBE
85.0
1
Max EV allowed
SEASON · 143 BBE
112.0
55
Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 143 BBE
21.0%
24
Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 143 BBE
15.4%
45
xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 143 BBE
.491
69
Strikeout %
SEASON · 228 BF
21.9%
50
Whiff %
SEASON · 228 BF
25.4%
46
Zone %
SEASON · 228 BF
43.0%
85
06

Historical Trends

Point-in-time windows
WindowGHRHR/PABarrel %Hard %LA
L5500.0%0.0%20.0%5.2
L101000.0%0.0%21.2%7.0
L151500.0%2.0%28.0%8.8
L302810.9%1.2%25.9%11.5
SEASON2810.9%1.2%25.9%11.5
CAREER2810.9%1.2%25.9%11.5
07

Why He Ranks Here

Deterministic trace
  • +Strong HR environment at this park today
  • -Below-average barrel rate
  • -Poor matchup against the starter's Knuckle-Curve
  • -Underlying contact quality trending down
  • -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed