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NathanielLowe
1B • Bats L • Throws R
1:40 PM ET
vs Casey Mize (R)
Progressive Field
CONFIRMED · BATTING #5
Bomb Score
83
HOT BOMBRank #71 today
HR probability
16.7%
Confidence
87%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Power
65
Platoon
58
Swing Win
57
- · Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
- · POWER 65
- · PLATOON 58
Signals
24/25
Power
65
Collision
55
Pitch Profile
55
Home Run Swing Window
Score 56.9Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 201 BBE
14.8
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 201 BBE
39.3%
82Barrel %
SEASON · 201 BBE
9.5%
58Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 201 BBE
42.8%
60Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 201 BBE
89.6
59Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 201 BBE
112.7
68Pull-Air %
SEASON · 201 BBE
21.4%
65Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Top-end exit velocity of 112.7 mph clears the HR threshold.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
65×52=59
Barrel
58×48=55
Hard Hit
60×45=55
Pitch Match
60×42=55
Zone Match
52×41=52
Location Match
47
Pull Match
65×78=62
Fastball Match
52×40=51
Breaking Ball Match
69×64=63
Offspeed Match
62×23=54
Contact Match
59×43=55
Platoon Match
68×37=58
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 201 BBE
9.5%
58Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 201 BBE
42.8%
60Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 201 BBE
39.3%
82Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 201 BBE
89.6
59Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 201 BBE
112.7
68Launch Angle
SEASON · 201 BBE
14.8
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 201 BBE
26.4%
44Pull %
SEASON · 201 BBE
49.3%
89Pull-Air %
SEASON · 201 BBE
21.4%
65xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 201 BBE
.430
76xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 201 BBE
.636
100ISO
SEASON · 308 PA
.219
73SLG
SEASON · 308 PA
.487
79HR / PA
SEASON · 308 PA
4.5%
64HR / BBE
SEASON · 201 BBE
7.0%
68Opposing Pitcher Profile
Casey Mize (R) · vulnerability 51.6HR / BF
SEASON · 367 BF
1.6%
23HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 259 BBE
2.3%
24Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 259 BBE
7.3%
48Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 259 BBE
37.8%
45Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 259 BBE
88.3
43Max EV allowed
SEASON · 259 BBE
110.4
41Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 259 BBE
31.3%
61Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 259 BBE
23.6%
78xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 259 BBE
.475
63Strikeout %
SEASON · 367 BF
22.6%
47Whiff %
SEASON · 367 BF
23.3%
56Zone %
SEASON · 367 BF
50.0%
50Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 1 | 5.9% | 6.7% | 40.0% | 22.2 |
| L10 | 10 | 2 | 5.4% | 7.1% | 50.0% | 22.3 |
| L15 | 15 | 2 | 3.6% | 4.8% | 54.8% | 15.8 |
| L30 | 30 | 5 | 4.5% | 6.3% | 45.6% | 16.3 |
| SEASON | 88 | 14 | 4.5% | 9.5% | 42.8% | 14.8 |
| CAREER | 88 | 14 | 4.5% | 9.5% | 42.8% | 14.8 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
