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NathanielLowe

1B • Bats L • Throws R

CLECLEvsSDSD
1:40 PM ET
vs Casey Mize (R)
Progressive Field
CONFIRMED · BATTING #5
Nathaniel Lowe headshot
Bomb Score
83
HOT BOMBRank #71 today
HR probability
16.7%
Confidence
87%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Power
65
Platoon
58
Swing Win
57
  • · Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
  • · POWER 65
  • · PLATOON 58
Signals
24/25
Power
65
Collision
55
Pitch Profile
55
02

Home Run Swing Window

Score 56.9
Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 201 BBE
14.8
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 201 BBE
39.3%
82
Barrel %
SEASON · 201 BBE
9.5%
58
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 201 BBE
42.8%
60
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 201 BBE
89.6
59
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 201 BBE
112.7
68
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 201 BBE
21.4%
65

Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Top-end exit velocity of 112.7 mph clears the HR threshold.

03

Collision Report

Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerability
Power
65×52=59
Barrel
58×48=55
Hard Hit
60×45=55
Pitch Match
60×42=55
Zone Match
52×41=52
Location Match
47
Pull Match
65×78=62
Fastball Match
52×40=51
Breaking Ball Match
69×64=63
Offspeed Match
62×23=54
Contact Match
59×43=55
Platoon Match
68×37=58
04

Statcast Profile

Measured contact quality
Barrel %
SEASON · 201 BBE
9.5%
58
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 201 BBE
42.8%
60
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 201 BBE
39.3%
82
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 201 BBE
89.6
59
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 201 BBE
112.7
68
Launch Angle
SEASON · 201 BBE
14.8
Fly Ball %
SEASON · 201 BBE
26.4%
44
Pull %
SEASON · 201 BBE
49.3%
89
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 201 BBE
21.4%
65
xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 201 BBE
.430
76
xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 201 BBE
.636
100
ISO
SEASON · 308 PA
.219
73
SLG
SEASON · 308 PA
.487
79
HR / PA
SEASON · 308 PA
4.5%
64
HR / BBE
SEASON · 201 BBE
7.0%
68
05

Opposing Pitcher Profile

Casey Mize (R) · vulnerability 51.6
HR / BF
SEASON · 367 BF
1.6%
23
HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 259 BBE
2.3%
24
Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 259 BBE
7.3%
48
Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 259 BBE
37.8%
45
Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 259 BBE
88.3
43
Max EV allowed
SEASON · 259 BBE
110.4
41
Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 259 BBE
31.3%
61
Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 259 BBE
23.6%
78
xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 259 BBE
.475
63
Strikeout %
SEASON · 367 BF
22.6%
47
Whiff %
SEASON · 367 BF
23.3%
56
Zone %
SEASON · 367 BF
50.0%
50
06

Historical Trends

Point-in-time windows
WindowGHRHR/PABarrel %Hard %LA
L5515.9%6.7%40.0%22.2
L101025.4%7.1%50.0%22.3
L151523.6%4.8%54.8%15.8
L303054.5%6.3%45.6%16.3
SEASON88144.5%9.5%42.8%14.8
CAREER88144.5%9.5%42.8%14.8
07

Why He Ranks Here

Deterministic trace
  • +Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP