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BrianNavarreto
C • Bats R • Throws L
MIAvs
CIN1:40 PM ET
vs Nick Lodolo (L)
Great American Ball Park
CONFIRMED · BATTING #9
Bomb Score
70
BOMBRank #168 today
HR probability
5.8%
Confidence
75%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Environment
73
Pitch Match
40
Collision
38
- · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- · Strong HR environment at this park today
- · ENVIRONMENT 73
Signals
24/25
Power
26
Collision
38
Pitch Profile
40
Home Run Swing Window
Score 31.8Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 13 BBE
12.6
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 13 BBE
38.5%
77Barrel %
SEASON · 13 BBE
7.7%
51Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 13 BBE
7.7%
0Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 13 BBE
72.2
0Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 13 BBE
104.0
17Pull-Air %
SEASON · 13 BBE
30.8%
96Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Only 13 tracked batted balls — estimate shrunk toward league.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
26×61=34
Barrel
51×61=51
Hard Hit
0×50=21
Pitch Match
35×63=40
Zone Match
Data limitedLocation Match
Data limitedPull Match
96×56=79
Fastball Match
37×80=39
Breaking Ball Match
19×48=33
Offspeed Match
40×45=45
Contact Match
0×58=18
Platoon Match
34×72=37
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 13 BBE · fallback
7.7%
51Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 13 BBE · fallback
7.7%
0Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 13 BBE · fallback
38.5%
77Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 13 BBE · fallback
72.2
0Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 13 BBE · fallback
104.0
17Launch Angle
SEASON · 13 BBE · fallback
12.6
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 13 BBE · fallback
7.7%
0Pull %
SEASON · 13 BBE · fallback
61.5%
100Pull-Air %
SEASON · 13 BBE · fallback
30.8%
96xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 13 BBE · fallback
.214
0xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 13 BBE · fallback
.288
0ISO
SEASON · 23 PA · fallback
.056
0SLG
SEASON · 23 PA · fallback
.167
0HR / PA
SEASON · 23 PA · fallback
0.0%
6HR / BBE
SEASON · 13 BBE · fallback
0.0%
0Opposing Pitcher Profile
Nick Lodolo (L) · vulnerability 60.5HR / BF
SEASON · 299 BF
4.0%
64HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 205 BBE
5.9%
62Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 205 BBE
8.8%
61Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 205 BBE
39.0%
50Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 205 BBE
89.4
58Max EV allowed
SEASON · 205 BBE
115.9
94Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 205 BBE
24.9%
38Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 205 BBE
18.0%
56xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 205 BBE
.613
100Strikeout %
SEASON · 299 BF
18.4%
68Whiff %
SEASON · 299 BF
21.0%
66Zone %
SEASON · 299 BF
46.7%
67Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.3 |
| L10 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 12.6 |
| L15 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 12.6 |
| L30 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 12.6 |
| SEASON | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 12.6 |
| CAREER | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 12.6 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Limited zone-level evidence for this matchup
- -Limited batted-ball sample (13 BBE) — estimate shrunk