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MichaelToglia
RF • Bats S • Throws R
CINvs
MIA1:40 PM ET
vs Eury Pérez (R)
Great American Ball Park
CONFIRMED · BATTING #5
Bomb Score
59
WATCHRank #220 today
HR probability
6.8%
Confidence
73%
Data coverage
92%
Why he's live
Environment
83
Opportunity
52
Platoon
48
- · Strong HR environment at this park today
- · ENVIRONMENT 83
- · OPPORTUNITY 52
Signals
23/25
Power
34
Collision
36
Pitch Profile
47
Home Run Swing Window
Score 28.6Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 4 BBE
11.3
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 4 BBE
25.0%
4Barrel %
SEASON · 4 BBE
0.0%
5Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 4 BBE
0.0%
0Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 4 BBE
84.3
14Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 4 BBE
94.1
0Pull-Air %
SEASON · 4 BBE
0.0%
0Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Only 4 tracked batted balls — estimate shrunk toward league.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
34×47=41
Barrel
5×64=19
Hard Hit
0×48=22
Pitch Match
44×46=47
Zone Match
Data limitedLocation Match
Data limitedPull Match
0×69=13
Fastball Match
44×63=46
Breaking Ball Match
43×29=47
Offspeed Match
43×15=48
Contact Match
14×29=36
Platoon Match
47×44=48
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 4 BBE · fallback
0.0%
5Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 4 BBE · fallback
0.0%
0Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 4 BBE · fallback
25.0%
4Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 4 BBE · fallback
84.3
14Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 4 BBE · fallback
94.1
0Launch Angle
SEASON · 4 BBE · fallback
11.3
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 4 BBE · fallback
50.0%
100Pull %
SEASON · 4 BBE · fallback
0.0%
0Pull-Air %
SEASON · 4 BBE · fallback
0.0%
0xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 4 BBE · fallback
.298
14xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 4 BBE · fallback
.375
26ISO
SEASON · 9 PA · fallback
.125
33SLG
SEASON · 9 PA · fallback
.375
35HR / PA
SEASON · 9 PA · fallback
0.0%
6HR / BBE
SEASON · 4 BBE · fallback
0.0%
0Opposing Pitcher Profile
Eury Pérez (R) · vulnerability 47.3HR / BF
SEASON · 446 BF
2.5%
38HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 273 BBE
4.0%
44Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 273 BBE
9.2%
64Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 273 BBE
38.5%
48Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 273 BBE
87.2
29Max EV allowed
SEASON · 273 BBE
113.4
69Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 273 BBE
26.4%
44Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 273 BBE
21.2%
69xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 273 BBE
.509
76Strikeout %
SEASON · 446 BF
26.9%
29Whiff %
SEASON · 446 BF
26.5%
41Zone %
SEASON · 446 BF
46.3%
69Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3 |
| L10 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3 |
| L15 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3 |
| L30 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3 |
| SEASON | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3 |
| CAREER | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Below-average barrel rate
- -Rarely lifts the ball to the pull side
- -Limited zone-level evidence for this matchup
- -Limited batted-ball sample (4 BBE) — estimate shrunk