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OttoLopez
SS • Bats R • Throws L
MIAvs
CIN1:40 PM ET
vs Nick Lodolo (L)
Great American Ball Park
CONFIRMED · BATTING #1
Bomb Score
74
BOMBRank #138 today
HR probability
11.2%
Confidence
88%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Opportunity
86
Environment
73
Pitch Match
51
- · Strong HR environment at this park today
- · OPPORTUNITY 86
- · ENVIRONMENT 73
Signals
24/25
Power
45
Collision
48
Pitch Profile
51
Home Run Swing Window
Score 40.1Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 407 BBE
8.1
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 407 BBE
31.7%
40Barrel %
SEASON · 407 BBE
5.9%
40Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 407 BBE
40.8%
55Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 407 BBE
88.6
51Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 407 BBE
112.8
69Pull-Air %
SEASON · 407 BBE
13.8%
36Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Top-end exit velocity of 112.8 mph clears the HR threshold.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
45×61=47
Barrel
40×61=44
Hard Hit
55×50=53
Pitch Match
50×63=51
Zone Match
51×55=53
Location Match
45
Pull Match
36×56=41
Fastball Match
62×80=59
Breaking Ball Match
41×48=45
Offspeed Match
36×45=43
Contact Match
51×58=51
Platoon Match
50×72=50
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 407 BBE
5.9%
40Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 407 BBE
40.8%
55Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 407 BBE
31.7%
40Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 407 BBE
88.6
51Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 407 BBE
112.8
69Launch Angle
SEASON · 407 BBE
8.1
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 407 BBE
22.1%
28Pull %
SEASON · 407 BBE
42.5%
63Pull-Air %
SEASON · 407 BBE
13.8%
36xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 407 BBE
.345
37xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 407 BBE
.484
62ISO
SEASON · 500 PA
.148
44SLG
SEASON · 500 PA
.454
66HR / PA
SEASON · 500 PA
1.8%
31HR / BBE
SEASON · 407 BBE
2.2%
22Opposing Pitcher Profile
Nick Lodolo (L) · vulnerability 60.5HR / BF
SEASON · 299 BF
4.0%
64HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 205 BBE
5.9%
62Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 205 BBE
8.8%
61Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 205 BBE
39.0%
50Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 205 BBE
89.4
58Max EV allowed
SEASON · 205 BBE
115.9
94Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 205 BBE
24.9%
38Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 205 BBE
18.0%
56xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 205 BBE
.613
100Strikeout %
SEASON · 299 BF
18.4%
68Whiff %
SEASON · 299 BF
21.0%
66Zone %
SEASON · 299 BF
46.7%
67Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 31.6% | 9.7 |
| L10 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 29.7% | 7.4 |
| L15 | 15 | 0 | 0.0% | 1.8% | 35.7% | 10.8 |
| L30 | 30 | 0 | 0.0% | 1.9% | 34.0% | 7.1 |
| SEASON | 115 | 9 | 1.8% | 5.9% | 40.8% | 8.1 |
| CAREER | 115 | 9 | 1.8% | 5.9% | 40.8% | 8.1 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Underlying contact quality trending down