Back to boardBomb Report
AlexBregman
3B • Bats R • Throws R
CHCvs
STL3:15 PM ET
vs Hunter Dobbins (R)
Wrigley Field
PROJECTED · BATTING #7
Bomb Score
74
BOMBRank #144 today
HR probability
8.4%
Confidence
78%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Recent
69
Environment
62
Swing Win
50
- · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- · Recent contact quality trending upward
- · RECENT 69
Signals
24/25
Power
44
Collision
48
Pitch Profile
45
Home Run Swing Window
Score 50.1Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 374 BBE
17.1
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 374 BBE
33.2%
48Barrel %
SEASON · 374 BBE
4.0%
29Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 374 BBE
37.2%
45Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 374 BBE
88.2
47Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 374 BBE
107.3
35Pull-Air %
SEASON · 374 BBE
27.0%
83Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
44×56=46
Barrel
29×37=40
Hard Hit
45×54=47
Pitch Match
42×56=45
Zone Match
40×51=45
Location Match
40
Pull Match
83×100=83
Fastball Match
41×61=44
Breaking Ball Match
42×51=45
Offspeed Match
Data limitedContact Match
47×46=48
Platoon Match
49×57=50
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 374 BBE
4.0%
29Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 374 BBE
37.2%
45Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 374 BBE
33.2%
48Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 374 BBE
88.2
47Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 374 BBE
107.3
35Launch Angle
SEASON · 374 BBE
17.1
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 374 BBE
26.7%
45Pull %
SEASON · 374 BBE
55.9%
100Pull-Air %
SEASON · 374 BBE
27.0%
83xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 374 BBE
.313
22xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 374 BBE
.439
50ISO
SEASON · 528 PA
.147
44SLG
SEASON · 528 PA
.399
45HR / PA
SEASON · 528 PA
2.7%
43HR / BBE
SEASON · 374 BBE
3.7%
39Opposing Pitcher Profile
Hunter Dobbins (R) · vulnerability 55.7HR / BF
SEASON · 191 BF
3.1%
51HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
4.6%
51Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
6.2%
37Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
40.0%
54Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
88.5
46Max EV allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
110.1
38Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
26.2%
43Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
32.3%
100xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 130 BBE
.480
65Strikeout %
SEASON · 191 BF
22.0%
50Whiff %
SEASON · 191 BF
20.3%
69Zone %
SEASON · 191 BF
47.5%
63Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 4 | 19.0% | 14.3% | 57.1% | 21.4 |
| L10 | 10 | 5 | 11.9% | 9.7% | 51.6% | 18.7 |
| L15 | 15 | 5 | 7.9% | 6.5% | 54.3% | 17.8 |
| L30 | 30 | 9 | 6.8% | 5.3% | 41.5% | 18.4 |
| SEASON | 116 | 14 | 2.7% | 4.0% | 37.2% | 17.1 |
| CAREER | 116 | 14 | 2.7% | 4.0% | 37.2% | 17.1 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- +Recent contact quality trending upward
- -Below-average barrel rate
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed