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MichaelConforto
RF • Bats L • Throws R
CHCvs
STL3:15 PM ET
vs Hunter Dobbins (R)
Wrigley Field
PROJECTED · BATTING #4
Bomb Score
90
NUCLEARRank #28 today
HR probability
9.4%
Confidence
74%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Environment
80
Power
70
Swing Win
68
- · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- · Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
- · Strong HR environment at this park today
Signals
24/25
Power
70
Collision
61
Pitch Profile
56
Home Run Swing Window
Score 68.4Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 121 BBE
17.9
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 121 BBE
38.0%
75Barrel %
SEASON · 121 BBE
12.4%
71Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 121 BBE
44.6%
64Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 121 BBE
91.7
77Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 121 BBE
110.7
55Pull-Air %
SEASON · 121 BBE
35.5%
100Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
70×56=62
Barrel
71×37=60
Hard Hit
64×54=59
Pitch Match
59×52=56
Zone Match
61×51=57
Location Match
53
Pull Match
100×100=100
Fastball Match
66×59=60
Breaking Ball Match
53×44=52
Offspeed Match
56×52=54
Contact Match
77×46=65
Platoon Match
71×46=61
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 121 BBE
12.4%
71Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 121 BBE
44.6%
64Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 121 BBE
38.0%
75Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 121 BBE
91.7
77Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 121 BBE
110.7
55Launch Angle
SEASON · 121 BBE
17.9
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 121 BBE
38.0%
80Pull %
SEASON · 121 BBE
58.7%
100Pull-Air %
SEASON · 121 BBE
35.5%
100xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 121 BBE
.417
70xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 121 BBE
.647
100ISO
SEASON · 205 PA
.236
80SLG
SEASON · 205 PA
.472
73HR / PA
SEASON · 205 PA
4.9%
68HR / BBE
SEASON · 121 BBE
8.3%
78Opposing Pitcher Profile
Hunter Dobbins (R) · vulnerability 55.7HR / BF
SEASON · 191 BF
3.1%
51HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
4.6%
51Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
6.2%
37Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
40.0%
54Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
88.5
46Max EV allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
110.1
38Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
26.2%
43Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
32.3%
100xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 130 BBE
.480
65Strikeout %
SEASON · 191 BF
22.0%
50Whiff %
SEASON · 191 BF
20.3%
69Zone %
SEASON · 191 BF
47.5%
63Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 1 | 7.7% | 28.6% | 57.1% | 17.3 |
| L10 | 10 | 1 | 3.4% | 14.3% | 35.7% | 7.4 |
| L15 | 15 | 1 | 2.4% | 9.1% | 31.8% | 16.1 |
| L30 | 30 | 6 | 7.0% | 12.0% | 38.0% | 16.7 |
| SEASON | 77 | 10 | 4.9% | 12.4% | 44.6% | 17.9 |
| CAREER | 77 | 10 | 4.9% | 12.4% | 44.6% | 17.9 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- +Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Underlying contact quality trending down
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed