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NicoHoerner
2B • Bats R • Throws R
CHCvs
STL3:15 PM ET
vs Hunter Dobbins (R)
Wrigley Field
PROJECTED · BATTING #8
Bomb Score
56
WATCHRank #227 today
HR probability
5.8%
Confidence
78%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Environment
62
Pitch Match
38
Collision
38
- · ENVIRONMENT 62
- · PITCH MATCH 38
- · COLLISION 38
Signals
24/25
Power
30
Collision
38
Pitch Profile
38
Home Run Swing Window
Score 31Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 425 BBE
12.4
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 425 BBE
38.4%
77Barrel %
SEASON · 425 BBE
1.2%
12Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 425 BBE
28.5%
24Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 425 BBE
85.8
27Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 425 BBE
105.1
23Pull-Air %
SEASON · 425 BBE
16.0%
46Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
30×56=38
Barrel
12×37=33
Hard Hit
24×54=34
Pitch Match
32×56=38
Zone Match
31×51=40
Location Match
36
Pull Match
46×100=46
Fastball Match
31×61=37
Breaking Ball Match
33×51=40
Offspeed Match
Data limitedContact Match
27×46=38
Platoon Match
28×57=36
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 425 BBE
1.2%
12Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 425 BBE
28.5%
24Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 425 BBE
38.4%
77Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 425 BBE
85.8
27Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 425 BBE
105.1
23Launch Angle
SEASON · 425 BBE
12.4
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 425 BBE
20.2%
21Pull %
SEASON · 425 BBE
39.5%
52Pull-Air %
SEASON · 425 BBE
16.0%
46xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 425 BBE
.318
24xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 425 BBE
.410
39ISO
SEASON · 511 PA
.099
20SLG
SEASON · 511 PA
.358
28HR / PA
SEASON · 511 PA
1.4%
25HR / BBE
SEASON · 425 BBE
1.6%
16Opposing Pitcher Profile
Hunter Dobbins (R) · vulnerability 55.7HR / BF
SEASON · 191 BF
3.1%
51HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
4.6%
51Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
6.2%
37Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
40.0%
54Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
88.5
46Max EV allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
110.1
38Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
26.2%
43Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
32.3%
100xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 130 BBE
.480
65Strikeout %
SEASON · 191 BF
22.0%
50Whiff %
SEASON · 191 BF
20.3%
69Zone %
SEASON · 191 BF
47.5%
63Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 38.9% | 3.5 |
| L10 | 10 | 1 | 2.4% | 2.8% | 30.6% | 7.6 |
| L15 | 15 | 2 | 3.3% | 3.9% | 33.3% | 8.1 |
| L30 | 30 | 3 | 2.4% | 1.9% | 29.8% | 10.1 |
| SEASON | 116 | 7 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 28.5% | 12.4 |
| CAREER | 116 | 7 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 28.5% | 12.4 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- -Below-average barrel rate
- -Underlying contact quality trending down
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed