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JoséFermín
3B • Bats R • Throws R
STLvs
CHC3:15 PM ET
vs Edward Cabrera (R)
Wrigley Field
PROJECTED · BATTING #5
Bomb Score
70
BOMBRank #166 today
HR probability
5.8%
Confidence
80%
Data coverage
100%
Why he's live
Environment
62
Opportunity
50
Swing Win
47
- · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- · ENVIRONMENT 62
- · OPPORTUNITY 50
Signals
25/25
Power
39
Collision
41
Pitch Profile
42
Home Run Swing Window
Score 47.1Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 197 BBE
15.7
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 197 BBE
35.0%
58Barrel %
SEASON · 197 BBE
2.0%
17Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 197 BBE
32.0%
32Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 197 BBE
86.3
31Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 197 BBE
109.3
46Pull-Air %
SEASON · 197 BBE
33.5%
100Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
39×68=42
Barrel
17×93=19
Hard Hit
32×74=36
Pitch Match
38×52=42
Zone Match
30×59=37
Location Match
36
Pull Match
100×100=100
Fastball Match
36×68=40
Breaking Ball Match
42×33=46
Offspeed Match
33×58=39
Contact Match
31×77=35
Platoon Match
39×78=41
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 197 BBE
2.0%
17Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 197 BBE
32.0%
32Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 197 BBE
35.0%
58Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 197 BBE
86.3
31Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 197 BBE
109.3
46Launch Angle
SEASON · 197 BBE
15.7
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 197 BBE
24.4%
36Pull %
SEASON · 197 BBE
62.4%
100Pull-Air %
SEASON · 197 BBE
33.5%
100xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 197 BBE
.304
17xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 197 BBE
.409
38ISO
SEASON · 258 PA
.115
27SLG
SEASON · 258 PA
.357
27HR / PA
SEASON · 258 PA
1.9%
33HR / BBE
SEASON · 197 BBE
2.5%
26Opposing Pitcher Profile
Edward Cabrera (R) · vulnerability 67.8HR / BF
SEASON · 290 BF
4.8%
77HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 200 BBE
7.0%
71Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 200 BBE
12.5%
93Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 200 BBE
44.5%
74Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 200 BBE
90.9
77Max EV allowed
SEASON · 200 BBE
115.4
89Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 200 BBE
23.0%
31Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 200 BBE
29.5%
100xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 200 BBE
.595
100Strikeout %
SEASON · 290 BF
20.7%
57Whiff %
SEASON · 290 BF
23.4%
55Zone %
SEASON · 290 BF
43.4%
83Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.3% | 3.0 |
| L10 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 34.8% | 7.2 |
| L15 | 15 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 38.5% | 7.7 |
| L30 | 30 | 2 | 1.9% | 2.6% | 35.1% | 13.9 |
| SEASON | 83 | 5 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 32.0% | 15.7 |
| CAREER | 83 | 5 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 32.0% | 15.7 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- -Below-average barrel rate
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed