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AlecBurleson
1B • Bats L • Throws R
STLvs
CHC3:15 PM ET
vs Edward Cabrera (R)
Wrigley Field
PROJECTED · BATTING #2
Bomb Score
97
NUCLEARRank #5 today
HR probability
12.2%
Confidence
80%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Environment
80
Opportunity
76
Contact
73
- · Hard-hit rate grades 76 on the MLB scale
- · Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
- · Recent contact quality trending upward
Signals
24/25
Power
67
Collision
65
Pitch Profile
62
Home Run Swing Window
Score 60.1Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 363 BBE
11.9
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 363 BBE
36.4%
66Barrel %
SEASON · 363 BBE
11.8%
69Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 363 BBE
49.3%
76Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 363 BBE
91.9
79Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 363 BBE
111.7
61Pull-Air %
SEASON · 363 BBE
22.9%
70Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
67×68=62
Barrel
69×93=68
Hard Hit
76×74=70
Pitch Match
67×64=62
Zone Match
70×59=64
Location Match
58
Pull Match
70×100=70
Fastball Match
76×73=70
Breaking Ball Match
77×60=68
Offspeed Match
50×55=50
Contact Match
79×77=73
Platoon Match
76×71=69
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 363 BBE
11.8%
69Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 363 BBE
49.3%
76Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 363 BBE
36.4%
66Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 363 BBE
91.9
79Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 363 BBE
111.7
61Launch Angle
SEASON · 363 BBE
11.9
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 363 BBE
27.8%
49Pull %
SEASON · 363 BBE
57.3%
100Pull-Air %
SEASON · 363 BBE
22.9%
70xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 363 BBE
.435
78xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 363 BBE
.664
100ISO
SEASON · 492 PA
.198
65SLG
SEASON · 492 PA
.482
77HR / PA
SEASON · 492 PA
3.9%
57HR / BBE
SEASON · 363 BBE
5.2%
54Opposing Pitcher Profile
Edward Cabrera (R) · vulnerability 67.8HR / BF
SEASON · 290 BF
4.8%
77HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 200 BBE
7.0%
71Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 200 BBE
12.5%
93Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 200 BBE
44.5%
74Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 200 BBE
90.9
77Max EV allowed
SEASON · 200 BBE
115.4
89Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 200 BBE
23.0%
31Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 200 BBE
29.5%
100xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 200 BBE
.595
100Strikeout %
SEASON · 290 BF
20.7%
57Whiff %
SEASON · 290 BF
23.4%
55Zone %
SEASON · 290 BF
43.4%
83Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 1 | 5.0% | 7.7% | 69.2% | 16.3 |
| L10 | 10 | 2 | 5.4% | 9.5% | 61.9% | 18.4 |
| L15 | 15 | 5 | 8.2% | 13.5% | 62.2% | 18.4 |
| L30 | 30 | 5 | 4.0% | 14.1% | 55.3% | 15.0 |
| SEASON | 117 | 19 | 3.9% | 11.8% | 49.3% | 11.9 |
| CAREER | 117 | 19 | 3.9% | 11.8% | 49.3% | 11.9 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Hard-hit rate grades 76 on the MLB scale
- +Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
- +Recent contact quality trending upward
- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed