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MichaelBusch
1B • Bats L • Throws R
CHCvs
STL3:15 PM ET
vs Hunter Dobbins (R)
Wrigley Field
PROJECTED · BATTING #2
Bomb Score
76
BOMBRank #130 today
HR probability
7.7%
Confidence
78%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Environment
81
Opportunity
76
Swing Win
54
- · Strong HR environment at this park today
- · ENVIRONMENT 81
- · OPPORTUNITY 76
Signals
24/25
Power
53
Collision
50
Pitch Profile
47
Home Run Swing Window
Score 54Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 331 BBE
15.3
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 331 BBE
36.9%
68Barrel %
SEASON · 331 BBE
9.1%
57Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 331 BBE
39.0%
50Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 331 BBE
88.0
46Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 331 BBE
109.2
46Pull-Air %
SEASON · 331 BBE
21.8%
66Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
53×56=52
Barrel
57×37=53
Hard Hit
50×54=50
Pitch Match
44×52=47
Zone Match
45×51=49
Location Match
44
Pull Match
66×100=66
Fastball Match
59×59=56
Breaking Ball Match
39×44=44
Offspeed Match
27×52=36
Contact Match
46×46=48
Platoon Match
54×46=52
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 331 BBE
9.1%
57Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 331 BBE
39.0%
50Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 331 BBE
36.9%
68Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 331 BBE
88.0
46Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 331 BBE
109.2
46Launch Angle
SEASON · 331 BBE
15.3
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 331 BBE
34.1%
68Pull %
SEASON · 331 BBE
48.9%
87Pull-Air %
SEASON · 331 BBE
21.8%
66xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 331 BBE
.369
49xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 331 BBE
.552
81ISO
SEASON · 530 PA
.140
40SLG
SEASON · 530 PA
.384
39HR / PA
SEASON · 530 PA
2.6%
42HR / BBE
SEASON · 331 BBE
4.2%
44Opposing Pitcher Profile
Hunter Dobbins (R) · vulnerability 55.7HR / BF
SEASON · 191 BF
3.1%
51HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
4.6%
51Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
6.2%
37Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
40.0%
54Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
88.5
46Max EV allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
110.1
38Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
26.2%
43Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
32.3%
100xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 130 BBE
.480
65Strikeout %
SEASON · 191 BF
22.0%
50Whiff %
SEASON · 191 BF
20.3%
69Zone %
SEASON · 191 BF
47.5%
63Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.4% | 23.0 |
| L10 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 3.2% | 29.0% | 20.8 |
| L15 | 15 | 1 | 1.6% | 4.3% | 29.8% | 19.4 |
| L30 | 30 | 3 | 2.2% | 5.2% | 33.0% | 14.6 |
| SEASON | 118 | 14 | 2.6% | 9.1% | 39.0% | 15.3 |
| CAREER | 118 | 14 | 2.6% | 9.1% | 39.0% | 15.3 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Underlying contact quality trending down
- -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed