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PeteCrow-Armstrong

CF • Bats L • Throws R

CHCCHCvsSTLSTL
3:15 PM ET
vs Hunter Dobbins (R)
Wrigley Field
PROJECTED · BATTING #1
Pete Crow-Armstrong headshot
Bomb Score
94
NUCLEARRank #18 today
HR probability
17.8%
Confidence
78%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Opportunity
84
Environment
81
Power
79
  • · Hard-hit rate grades 74 on the MLB scale
  • · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
  • · Top-end exit velocity of 114.6 mph
Signals
24/25
Power
79
Collision
63
Pitch Profile
63
02

Home Run Swing Window

Score 76.8
Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 311 BBE
21.1
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 311 BBE
41.2%
92
Barrel %
SEASON · 311 BBE
12.5%
72
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 311 BBE
48.6%
74
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 311 BBE
89.5
58
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 311 BBE
114.6
81
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 311 BBE
37.1%
100

Top-end exit velocity of 114.6 mph clears the HR threshold.

03

Collision Report

Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerability
Power
79×56=68
Barrel
72×37=60
Hard Hit
74×54=65
Pitch Match
72×52=63
Zone Match
51×51=52
Location Match
47
Pull Match
100×100=100
Fastball Match
75×59=66
Breaking Ball Match
71×44=61
Offspeed Match
68×52=61
Contact Match
58×46=54
Platoon Match
80×46=66
04

Statcast Profile

Measured contact quality
Barrel %
SEASON · 311 BBE
12.5%
72
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 311 BBE
48.6%
74
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 311 BBE
41.2%
92
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 311 BBE
89.5
58
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 311 BBE
114.6
81
Launch Angle
SEASON · 311 BBE
21.1
Fly Ball %
SEASON · 311 BBE
36.0%
74
Pull %
SEASON · 311 BBE
59.0%
100
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 311 BBE
37.1%
100
xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 311 BBE
.454
86
xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 311 BBE
.694
100
ISO
SEASON · 525 PA
.265
92
SLG
SEASON · 525 PA
.543
100
HR / PA
SEASON · 525 PA
5.1%
71
HR / BBE
SEASON · 311 BBE
8.7%
82
05

Opposing Pitcher Profile

Hunter Dobbins (R) · vulnerability 55.7
HR / BF
SEASON · 191 BF
3.1%
51
HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
4.6%
51
Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
6.2%
37
Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
40.0%
54
Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
88.5
46
Max EV allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
110.1
38
Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
26.2%
43
Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 130 BBE
32.3%
100
xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 130 BBE
.480
65
Strikeout %
SEASON · 191 BF
22.0%
50
Whiff %
SEASON · 191 BF
20.3%
69
Zone %
SEASON · 191 BF
47.5%
63
06

Historical Trends

Point-in-time windows
WindowGHRHR/PABarrel %Hard %LA
L5514.3%6.3%31.3%34.7
L101036.5%17.9%42.9%31.2
L151534.5%12.8%46.2%29.9
L303064.3%15.8%47.4%25.3
SEASON119275.1%12.5%48.6%21.1
CAREER119275.1%12.5%48.6%21.1
07

Why He Ranks Here

Deterministic trace
  • +Hard-hit rate grades 74 on the MLB scale
  • +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
  • +Top-end exit velocity of 114.6 mph
  • +Swing plane sits inside the HR launch window
  • +Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
  • +Recent contact quality trending upward
  • +Strong HR environment at this park today
  • -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed