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NolanArenado

3B • Bats R • Throws R

AZAZvsATLATL
1:35 PM ET
vs Bryce Elder (R)
Truist Park
CONFIRMED · BATTING #6
Nolan Arenado headshot
Bomb Score
83
HOT BOMBRank #72 today
HR probability
8.9%
Confidence
92%
Data coverage
100%
Why he's live
Environment
64
Recent
57
Swing Win
52
  • · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
  • · Recent contact quality trending upward
  • · ENVIRONMENT 64
Signals
25/25
Power
52
Collision
47
Pitch Profile
49
02

Home Run Swing Window

Score 52.1
Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 301 BBE
18.6
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 301 BBE
35.2%
59
Barrel %
SEASON · 301 BBE
7.3%
49
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 301 BBE
33.6%
36
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 301 BBE
85.3
23
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 301 BBE
107.5
36
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 301 BBE
32.9%
100

Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band.

03

Collision Report

Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerability
Power
52×60=51
Barrel
49×43=49
Hard Hit
36×59=41
Pitch Match
47×64=49
Zone Match
37×54=43
Location Match
38
Pull Match
100×72=88
Fastball Match
54×68=53
Breaking Ball Match
30×57=37
Offspeed Match
43×39=46
Contact Match
23×54=33
Platoon Match
48×70=48
04

Statcast Profile

Measured contact quality
Barrel %
SEASON · 301 BBE
7.3%
49
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 301 BBE
33.6%
36
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 301 BBE
35.2%
59
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 301 BBE
85.3
23
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 301 BBE
107.5
36
Launch Angle
SEASON · 301 BBE
18.6
Fly Ball %
SEASON · 301 BBE
27.6%
48
Pull %
SEASON · 301 BBE
59.5%
100
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 301 BBE
32.9%
100
xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 301 BBE
.335
32
xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 301 BBE
.481
61
ISO
SEASON · 437 PA
.212
71
SLG
SEASON · 437 PA
.461
69
HR / PA
SEASON · 437 PA
4.6%
65
HR / BBE
SEASON · 301 BBE
6.6%
65
05

Opposing Pitcher Profile

Bryce Elder (R) · vulnerability 59.5
HR / BF
SEASON · 533 BF
3.9%
63
HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
5.5%
58
Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
6.8%
43
Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
41.0%
59
Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
89.1
54
Max EV allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
113.0
65
Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
26.4%
44
Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
21.9%
72
xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 383 BBE
.512
77
Strikeout %
SEASON · 533 BF
19.3%
63
Whiff %
SEASON · 533 BF
19.8%
72
Zone %
SEASON · 533 BF
47.5%
63
06

Historical Trends

Point-in-time windows
WindowGHRHR/PABarrel %Hard %LA
L55313.6%5.9%41.2%22.5
L1010512.8%6.5%32.3%31.1
L1515610.0%6.8%34.1%26.2
L303097.6%8.6%35.8%20.6
SEASON113204.6%7.3%33.6%18.6
CAREER113204.6%7.3%33.6%18.6
07

Why He Ranks Here

Deterministic trace
  • +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
  • +Recent contact quality trending upward