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MaxKepler
LF • Bats L • Throws R
AZvs
ATL1:35 PM ET
vs Bryce Elder (R)
Truist Park
CONFIRMED · BATTING #5
Bomb Score
72
BOMBRank #153 today
HR probability
15.2%
Confidence
85%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Environment
80
Swing Win
62
Collision
52
- · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- · Strong HR environment at this park today
- · ENVIRONMENT 80
Signals
24/25
Power
49
Collision
52
Pitch Profile
52
Home Run Swing Window
Score 61.6Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 82 BBE
20.2
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 82 BBE
39.0%
80Barrel %
SEASON · 82 BBE
8.5%
54Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 82 BBE
41.5%
56Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 82 BBE
88.2
47Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 82 BBE
110.3
52Pull-Air %
SEASON · 82 BBE
34.1%
100Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
49×60=49
Barrel
54×43=52
Hard Hit
56×59=54
Pitch Match
52×53=52
Zone Match
45×54=47
Location Match
46
Pull Match
100×72=88
Fastball Match
61×55=57
Breaking Ball Match
41×65=44
Offspeed Match
25×24=41
Contact Match
47×54=48
Platoon Match
51×49=51
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 82 BBE
8.5%
54Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 82 BBE
41.5%
56Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 82 BBE
39.0%
80Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 82 BBE
88.2
47Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 82 BBE
110.3
52Launch Angle
SEASON · 82 BBE
20.2
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 82 BBE
32.9%
65Pull %
SEASON · 82 BBE
54.9%
100Pull-Air %
SEASON · 82 BBE
34.1%
100xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 82 BBE
.315
22xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 82 BBE
.458
55ISO
SEASON · 120 PA
.121
31SLG
SEASON · 120 PA
.336
19HR / PA
SEASON · 120 PA
1.7%
29HR / BBE
SEASON · 82 BBE
2.4%
25Opposing Pitcher Profile
Bryce Elder (R) · vulnerability 59.5HR / BF
SEASON · 533 BF
3.9%
63HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
5.5%
58Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
6.8%
43Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
41.0%
59Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
89.1
54Max EV allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
113.0
65Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
26.4%
44Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
21.9%
72xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 383 BBE
.512
77Strikeout %
SEASON · 533 BF
19.3%
63Whiff %
SEASON · 533 BF
19.8%
72Zone %
SEASON · 533 BF
47.5%
63Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 7.7% | 23.1% | 25.4 |
| L10 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 8.3% | 29.2% | 17.9 |
| L15 | 15 | 0 | 0.0% | 5.3% | 34.2% | 18.5 |
| L30 | 30 | 2 | 1.8% | 8.0% | 40.0% | 20.4 |
| SEASON | 33 | 2 | 1.7% | 8.5% | 41.5% | 20.2 |
| CAREER | 33 | 2 | 1.7% | 8.5% | 41.5% | 20.2 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Underlying contact quality trending down