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MattOlson
1B • Bats L • Throws R
ATLvs
AZ1:35 PM ET
vs Michael Soroka (R)
Truist Park
CONFIRMED · BATTING #3
Bomb Score
97
NUCLEARRank #8 today
HR probability
19.2%
Confidence
88%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Power
80
Environment
79
Swing Win
71
- · Elite barrel profile (15.9% of batted balls)
- · Hard-hit rate grades 79 on the MLB scale
- · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
Signals
24/25
Power
80
Collision
65
Pitch Profile
65
Home Run Swing Window
Score 71.3Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 334 BBE
18.7
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 334 BBE
34.1%
53Barrel %
SEASON · 334 BBE
15.9%
86Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 334 BBE
50.6%
79Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 334 BBE
92.7
86Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 334 BBE
111.6
61Pull-Air %
SEASON · 334 BBE
28.5%
88Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
80×52=68
Barrel
86×52=71
Hard Hit
79×22=60
Pitch Match
76×51=65
Zone Match
68×42=61
Location Match
53
Pull Match
88×92=86
Fastball Match
85×56=72
Breaking Ball Match
72×45=62
Offspeed Match
59×48=55
Contact Match
86×27=64
Platoon Match
86×44=69
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 334 BBE
15.9%
86Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 334 BBE
50.6%
79Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 334 BBE
34.1%
53Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 334 BBE
92.7
86Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 334 BBE
111.6
61Launch Angle
SEASON · 334 BBE
18.7
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 334 BBE
35.9%
74Pull %
SEASON · 334 BBE
52.9%
100Pull-Air %
SEASON · 334 BBE
28.5%
88xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 334 BBE
.458
88xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 334 BBE
.738
100ISO
SEASON · 515 PA
.291
100SLG
SEASON · 515 PA
.556
100HR / PA
SEASON · 515 PA
6.8%
89HR / BBE
SEASON · 334 BBE
10.5%
96Opposing Pitcher Profile
Michael Soroka (R) · vulnerability 52.2HR / BF
SEASON · 332 BF
1.8%
26HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
2.6%
27Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
7.7%
52Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
32.5%
22Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
87.0
27Max EV allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
112.0
55Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
27.8%
49Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
26.9%
92xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 234 BBE
.532
85Strikeout %
SEASON · 332 BF
22.0%
50Whiff %
SEASON · 332 BF
18.3%
79Zone %
SEASON · 332 BF
48.4%
58Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 1 | 4.8% | 14.3% | 35.7% | 17.2 |
| L10 | 10 | 4 | 10.0% | 28.0% | 44.0% | 22.7 |
| L15 | 15 | 7 | 11.7% | 25.0% | 45.0% | 22.5 |
| L30 | 30 | 10 | 7.8% | 21.1% | 43.4% | 20.5 |
| SEASON | 118 | 35 | 6.8% | 15.9% | 50.6% | 18.7 |
| CAREER | 118 | 35 | 6.8% | 15.9% | 50.6% | 18.7 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Elite barrel profile (15.9% of batted balls)
- +Hard-hit rate grades 79 on the MLB scale
- +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- +Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
- +Recent contact quality trending upward
- +Strong HR environment at this park today