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AustinRiley
3B • Bats R • Throws R
ATLvs
AZ1:35 PM ET
vs Michael Soroka (R)
Truist Park
CONFIRMED · BATTING #8
Bomb Score
79
HOT BOMBRank #106 today
HR probability
13.8%
Confidence
88%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Recent
68
Environment
64
Swing Win
63
- · Elite barrel profile (12.7% of batted balls)
- · Recent contact quality trending upward
- · RECENT 68
Signals
24/25
Power
61
Collision
58
Pitch Profile
57
Home Run Swing Window
Score 62.9Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 275 BBE
18.9
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 275 BBE
34.2%
54Barrel %
SEASON · 275 BBE
12.7%
72Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 275 BBE
45.8%
67Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 275 BBE
91.4
75Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 275 BBE
112.2
65Pull-Air %
SEASON · 275 BBE
21.5%
65Top-end exit velocity of 112.2 mph clears the HR threshold.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
61×52=56
Barrel
72×52=63
Hard Hit
67×22=56
Pitch Match
63×42=57
Zone Match
63×42=58
Location Match
52
Pull Match
65×92=64
Fastball Match
66×50=60
Breaking Ball Match
58×26=53
Offspeed Match
Data limitedContact Match
75×27=59
Platoon Match
66×45=59
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 275 BBE
12.7%
72Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 275 BBE
45.8%
67Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 275 BBE
34.2%
54Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 275 BBE
91.4
75Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 275 BBE
112.2
65Launch Angle
SEASON · 275 BBE
18.9
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 275 BBE
31.3%
60Pull %
SEASON · 275 BBE
47.6%
82Pull-Air %
SEASON · 275 BBE
21.5%
65xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 275 BBE
.401
63xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 275 BBE
.623
100ISO
SEASON · 467 PA
.155
48SLG
SEASON · 467 PA
.377
36HR / PA
SEASON · 467 PA
3.2%
50HR / BBE
SEASON · 275 BBE
5.5%
55Opposing Pitcher Profile
Michael Soroka (R) · vulnerability 52.2HR / BF
SEASON · 332 BF
1.8%
26HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
2.6%
27Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
7.7%
52Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
32.5%
22Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
87.0
27Max EV allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
112.0
55Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
27.8%
49Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
26.9%
92xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 234 BBE
.532
85Strikeout %
SEASON · 332 BF
22.0%
50Whiff %
SEASON · 332 BF
18.3%
79Zone %
SEASON · 332 BF
48.4%
58Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 1 | 5.9% | 36.4% | 63.6% | 17.4 |
| L10 | 10 | 2 | 5.7% | 28.6% | 57.1% | 24.8 |
| L15 | 15 | 3 | 5.7% | 26.7% | 60.0% | 20.1 |
| L30 | 30 | 6 | 5.3% | 20.3% | 56.3% | 18.6 |
| SEASON | 117 | 15 | 3.2% | 12.7% | 45.8% | 18.9 |
| CAREER | 117 | 15 | 3.2% | 12.7% | 45.8% | 18.9 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Elite barrel profile (12.7% of batted balls)
- +Recent contact quality trending upward