Back to boardBomb Report
CorbinCarroll
RF • Bats L • Throws R
AZvs
ATL1:35 PM ET
vs Bryce Elder (R)
Truist Park
CONFIRMED · BATTING #2
Bomb Score
94
NUCLEARRank #17 today
HR probability
18.7%
Confidence
90%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Environment
80
Opportunity
78
Contact
67
- · Hard-hit rate grades 77 on the MLB scale
- · Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- · Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
Signals
24/25
Power
65
Collision
63
Pitch Profile
62
Home Run Swing Window
Score 62.4Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 324 BBE
15.1
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 324 BBE
31.2%
37Barrel %
SEASON · 324 BBE
11.7%
68Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 324 BBE
49.7%
77Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 324 BBE
91.7
78Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 324 BBE
112.9
69Pull-Air %
SEASON · 324 BBE
27.5%
85Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Top-end exit velocity of 112.9 mph clears the HR threshold.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
65×60=60
Barrel
68×43=59
Hard Hit
77×59=67
Pitch Match
70×53=62
Zone Match
65×54=59
Location Match
52
Pull Match
85×72=77
Fastball Match
68×55=62
Breaking Ball Match
80×65=71
Offspeed Match
57×24=53
Contact Match
78×54=67
Platoon Match
74×49=64
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 324 BBE
11.7%
68Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 324 BBE
49.7%
77Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 324 BBE
31.2%
37Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 324 BBE
91.7
78Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 324 BBE
112.9
69Launch Angle
SEASON · 324 BBE
15.1
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 324 BBE
29.6%
55Pull %
SEASON · 324 BBE
57.7%
100Pull-Air %
SEASON · 324 BBE
27.5%
85xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 324 BBE
.392
59xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 324 BBE
.591
91ISO
SEASON · 499 PA
.241
83SLG
SEASON · 499 PA
.490
80HR / PA
SEASON · 499 PA
3.4%
52HR / BBE
SEASON · 324 BBE
5.2%
54Opposing Pitcher Profile
Bryce Elder (R) · vulnerability 59.5HR / BF
SEASON · 533 BF
3.9%
63HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
5.5%
58Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
6.8%
43Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
41.0%
59Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
89.1
54Max EV allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
113.0
65Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
26.4%
44Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 383 BBE
21.9%
72xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 383 BBE
.512
77Strikeout %
SEASON · 533 BF
19.3%
63Whiff %
SEASON · 533 BF
19.8%
72Zone %
SEASON · 533 BF
47.5%
63Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 2 | 8.7% | 17.6% | 47.1% | 29.8 |
| L10 | 10 | 2 | 4.8% | 12.9% | 41.9% | 18.6 |
| L15 | 15 | 3 | 4.6% | 11.1% | 46.7% | 19.0 |
| L30 | 30 | 5 | 3.7% | 14.3% | 54.9% | 18.1 |
| SEASON | 115 | 17 | 3.4% | 11.7% | 49.7% | 15.1 |
| CAREER | 115 | 17 | 3.4% | 11.7% | 49.7% | 15.1 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Hard-hit rate grades 77 on the MLB scale
- +Strong pull-air contact — the HR-producing batted ball
- +Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
- +Strong HR environment at this park today