Back to boardBomb Report
DrakeBaldwin
C • Bats L • Throws R
ATLvs
AZ1:35 PM ET
vs Michael Soroka (R)
Truist Park
CONFIRMED · BATTING #1
Bomb Score
84
HOT BOMBRank #61 today
HR probability
17.9%
Confidence
88%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Opportunity
86
Environment
80
Pitch Match
64
- · Elite barrel profile (13.1% of batted balls)
- · Hard-hit rate grades 80 on the MLB scale
- · Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
Signals
24/25
Power
62
Collision
58
Pitch Profile
64
Home Run Swing Window
Score 51.2Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 282 BBE
10.4
—Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 282 BBE
35.8%
63Barrel %
SEASON · 282 BBE
13.1%
74Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 282 BBE
51.1%
80Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 282 BBE
91.6
77Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 282 BBE
112.8
69Pull-Air %
SEASON · 282 BBE
13.1%
33Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Top-end exit velocity of 112.8 mph clears the HR threshold.
Collision Report
Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerabilityPower
62×52=57
Barrel
74×52=64
Hard Hit
80×22=60
Pitch Match
74×51=64
Zone Match
64×42=58
Location Match
53
Pull Match
33×92=35
Fastball Match
73×56=64
Breaking Ball Match
81×45=67
Offspeed Match
65×48=58
Contact Match
77×27=60
Platoon Match
71×44=61
Statcast Profile
Measured contact qualityBarrel %
SEASON · 282 BBE
13.1%
74Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 282 BBE
51.1%
80Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 282 BBE
35.8%
63Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 282 BBE
91.6
77Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 282 BBE
112.8
69Launch Angle
SEASON · 282 BBE
10.4
—Fly Ball %
SEASON · 282 BBE
24.1%
35Pull %
SEASON · 282 BBE
42.2%
62Pull-Air %
SEASON · 282 BBE
13.1%
33xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 282 BBE
.427
74xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 282 BBE
.637
100ISO
SEASON · 420 PA
.162
51SLG
SEASON · 420 PA
.438
60HR / PA
SEASON · 420 PA
4.0%
59HR / BBE
SEASON · 282 BBE
6.0%
60Opposing Pitcher Profile
Michael Soroka (R) · vulnerability 52.2HR / BF
SEASON · 332 BF
1.8%
26HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
2.6%
27Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
7.7%
52Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
32.5%
22Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
87.0
27Max EV allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
112.0
55Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
27.8%
49Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 234 BBE
26.9%
92xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 234 BBE
.532
85Strikeout %
SEASON · 332 BF
22.0%
50Whiff %
SEASON · 332 BF
18.3%
79Zone %
SEASON · 332 BF
48.4%
58Historical Trends
Point-in-time windows| Window | G | HR | HR/PA | Barrel % | Hard % | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5.9% | 52.9% | 13.7 |
| L10 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 3.0% | 54.5% | 10.8 |
| L15 | 15 | 0 | 0.0% | 6.3% | 56.3% | 10.2 |
| L30 | 30 | 5 | 3.8% | 9.4% | 53.1% | 9.5 |
| SEASON | 95 | 17 | 4.0% | 13.1% | 51.1% | 10.4 |
| CAREER | 95 | 17 | 4.0% | 13.1% | 51.1% | 10.4 |
Why He Ranks Here
Deterministic trace- +Elite barrel profile (13.1% of batted balls)
- +Hard-hit rate grades 80 on the MLB scale
- +Favourable platoon matchup vs RHP
- +Strong HR environment at this park today
- -Underlying contact quality trending down