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LawrenceButler

RF • Bats L • Throws L

ATHATHvsTEXTEX
4:05 PM ET
vs Cody Bradford (L)
Sutter Health Park
PROJECTED · BATTING #7
Lawrence Butler headshot
Bomb Score
77
BOMBRank #120 today
HR probability
14.5%
Confidence
71%
Data coverage
96%
Why he's live
Environment
70
Recent
66
Contact
55
  • · Opposing starter is HR-vulnerable on contact quality allowed
  • · Recent contact quality trending upward
  • · Strong HR environment at this park today
Signals
24/25
Power
50
Collision
45
Pitch Profile
44
02

Home Run Swing Window

Score 43.9
Launch-Angle Fit (24-33 deg)
SEASON · 222 BBE
6.2
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 222 BBE
32.9%
47
Barrel %
SEASON · 222 BBE
8.1%
53
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 222 BBE
46.4%
69
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 222 BBE
89.3
57
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 222 BBE
112.7
68
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 222 BBE
12.2%
29

Bat path is outside the typical HR launch band. · Top-end exit velocity of 112.7 mph clears the HR threshold.

03

Collision Report

Hitter strength × pitcher vulnerability
Power
50×71=50
Barrel
53×57=52
Hard Hit
69×61=62
Pitch Match
41×57=44
Zone Match
22×50=34
Location Match
34
Pull Match
29×100=29
Fastball Match
41×57=44
Breaking Ball Match
Data limited
Offspeed Match
Data limited
Contact Match
57×71=55
Platoon Match
44×56=46
04

Statcast Profile

Measured contact quality
Barrel %
SEASON · 222 BBE
8.1%
53
Hard-Hit %
SEASON · 222 BBE
46.4%
69
Sweet-Spot %
SEASON · 222 BBE
32.9%
47
Avg Exit Velo
SEASON · 222 BBE
89.3
57
Max Exit Velo
SEASON · 222 BBE
112.7
68
Launch Angle
SEASON · 222 BBE
6.2
Fly Ball %
SEASON · 222 BBE
22.5%
30
Pull %
SEASON · 222 BBE
48.2%
85
Pull-Air %
SEASON · 222 BBE
12.2%
29
xwOBA (contact)
SEASON · 222 BBE
.377
53
xSLG (contact)
SEASON · 222 BBE
.543
78
ISO
SEASON · 360 PA
.142
41
SLG
SEASON · 360 PA
.351
25
HR / PA
SEASON · 360 PA
2.8%
44
HR / BBE
SEASON · 222 BBE
4.5%
47
05

Opposing Pitcher Profile

Cody Bradford (L) · vulnerability 70.8
HR / BF
SEASON · 46 BF
0.0%
0
HR / BBE allowed
SEASON · 36 BBE
0.0%
0
Barrel % allowed
SEASON · 36 BBE
8.3%
57
Hard-Hit % allowed
SEASON · 36 BBE
41.7%
61
Avg EV allowed
SEASON · 36 BBE
90.5
71
Max EV allowed
SEASON · 36 BBE
111.5
50
Fly Ball % allowed
SEASON · 36 BBE
36.1%
77
Pull-Air % allowed
SEASON · 36 BBE
36.1%
100
xSLG allowed (contact)
SEASON · 36 BBE
.532
85
Strikeout %
SEASON · 46 BF
13.0%
95
Whiff %
SEASON · 46 BF
10.6%
100
Zone %
SEASON · 46 BF
50.3%
48
06

Historical Trends

Point-in-time windows
WindowGHRHR/PABarrel %Hard %LA
L55314.3%21.4%50.0%30.3
L1010410.8%14.3%42.9%15.5
L151546.9%9.8%48.8%12.6
L303054.7%11.4%47.1%11.0
SEASON106102.8%8.1%46.4%6.2
CAREER106102.8%8.1%46.4%6.2
07

Why He Ranks Here

Deterministic trace
  • +Opposing starter is HR-vulnerable on contact quality allowed
  • +Recent contact quality trending upward
  • +Strong HR environment at this park today
  • -Rarely lifts the ball to the pull side
  • -Projected lineup — not yet confirmed